Politics Roundtable

Politics Roundtable

Political blogs of interest to economists.

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September 7, 2010, 6:19 pm, 761314
'82 WASN'T A MIDTERM 'TRIUMPH'.... The Third Way's Jim Kessler argued over the weekend that President Obama and congressional Democrats, just eight weeks before the midterms, can salvage the cycle. It'd help, Kessler said, if they followed the "model" of...


September 7, 2010, 6:19 pm, 761313
TUESDAY'S MINI-REPORT.... Today's edition of quick hits: * This really is scandalous, and it's created real emergencies throughout the judiciary: "A determined Republican stall campaign in the Senate has sidetracked so many of the men and women nominated by President...


September 7, 2010, 6:18 pm, 761312

Josh Green today:

A Second Stimulus: It goes without saying--doesn't it?--that this morning's news that the White House will push a $200 billion plan for business tax cuts, coupled with its $50 billion proposal for research and development tax credits, $50 billion for infrastructure, and its $30 ...


September 7, 2010, 6:18 pm, 761311

Frank Newport

Parties Tied at 46% in Generic Ballot: PRINCETON, NJ -- Republicans and Democrats are tied at 46% among registered voters in Gallup's weekly tracking of congressional voting preferences...


September 7, 2010, 4:19 pm, 761225
THE GOP HEARTS CHINA.... In Wisconsin, far-right Senate candidate Ron Johnson (R) is perhaps best known for his bizarre ideas about global warming, and the embarrassing instances in which he's sought and received federal aid for his business enterprises, despite...


September 7, 2010, 4:19 pm, 761224
PAWLENTY'S TIRESOME HEALTH CARE GAMES.... Last week, Minnesota, Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R), desperate to pander to the party's base in advance of his presidential campaign, issued an order to state officials this week, demanding that they not seek grants through...


September 7, 2010, 2:19 pm, 761157
Paul

National Review Online reports on its interview with Joe Miller, the Republican nominee for the Senate in Alaska. Among other things, Miller said he is keeping his beard.

Miller's comment reminded me of a story about former New Jersey Senator Jon Corzine. Supposedly, when the wealthy Corzine ...


September 7, 2010, 2:19 pm, 761156
WHEN REPUBLICANS DISCOVER A REASON TO CARE ABOUT THE HOMELESS.... As a rule, when Americans slip between the cracks and end up homeless, conservative Republicans aren't especially troubled. If a problem can't be fixed with a tax cut, they figure,...


September 7, 2010, 2:19 pm, 761155
ONE OF THE MOST ANNOYING WORDS IN POLITICS.... This Washington Post headline features one of the most annoying words in politics: "Early on, Obama was more polarizing than we knew." Would it be too much to propose an indefinite moratorium...


September 7, 2010, 2:18 pm, 761154

Keynesians

Last time we ran through two types of recessions, “Keynesian” type and “monetarist” type—the one we saw in 2002 and the other we saw in 1982.

In a “Keynesian” downturn the fundamental financial excess demand in the economy is an excess demand for bonds: an excess of (planned) savings ...


September 7, 2010, 2:18 pm, 761153

Karl Smith accurately describes the economic situation, in measured, appropriate langauge:

Rome is Burning «  Modeled Behavior: There is a critical point that I fear the commentariat is just not getting. In my darker moments I fear that some of my fellow economists aren’t getting it either ...


September 7, 2010, 12:19 pm, 761078
MAYBE HE HAS A PROBLEM WITH THE PROSTITUTES.... Sen. David Vitter (R) is seeking re-election in Louisiana, despite his numerous scandals and humiliating questions about his character, and appears likely to win another term. Not surprisingly, the GOP establishment has...


September 7, 2010, 12:19 pm, 761076
TUESDAY'S CAMPAIGN ROUND-UP.... Today's installment of campaign-related news items that wouldn't generate a post of their own, but may be of interest to political observers. * In case Alaska's U.S. Senate race couldn't get weirder, Sen. Lisa Murkowski, after narrowly...


September 7, 2010, 12:19 pm, 761077
ONLY IF 'MAINSTREAM' HAS NO MEANING.... The comparisons can be tricky, but for my money, Nevada's Sharron Angle remains the nuttiest of nutty for 2010. There's some tough competition, but from top to bottom, no one can match this Senate...


September 7, 2010, 12:18 pm, 761075

Peter Orszag writes for the New York Times. He goes off his Obama administration position, calling for only a two-year extension of the expiring Bush tax reductions, and for America to fight the recession now and fight the long-term deficit later.

I wish he had drawn a clearer distinction between ...


September 7, 2010, 10:19 am, 760985
Scott

Now comes Time's Karl Vick (formerly of the Washington Post) to explain "Why Israel Doesn't Care About Peace," which is the title Times gives to Vick's cover story. (Some might take issue ...


September 7, 2010, 10:19 am, 760984
OBAMA FIRES UP LABORFEST CROWD.... Reading Bob Herbert's columns lately, it's been hard not to notice that he wants to see more fire in the belly from President Obama. It was a good sign, then, that the New York Times...


September 7, 2010, 10:19 am, 760983
QUANTIFYING THE ENTHUSIASM GAP, CONT'D.... Reader J.B. reminded me last night of an item from July about the "enthusiasm gap" that remains relevant. As is obvious by now, Republican voters are chomping at the bit, counting the days until the...


September 7, 2010, 10:19 am, 760982
AMERICAN EXTREMISM DOESN'T HAPPEN IN A VACUUM.... Chances are, you've heard about the radical Florida church that plans to "celebrate" the anniversary of the 9/11 attacks by organizing a Quran-burning ceremony in Gainesville. The problem is, you're not the only...


September 7, 2010, 10:18 am, 760981

Eleanor Roosevelt Roosevelt, My Day:

HYDE PARK, Friday—We had a picnic lunch yesterday for the second group of boys from the Woodstock, N. Y., National Youth Administration Project. These boys are learning quarrying, masonry work, stone carving and even the making of their own tools. I did not ...


September 7, 2010, 8:19 am, 760924
Scott

Students of the work of Jimi Hendrix will recognize Barack Obama's complaint that "They treat me like a dog." It obviously derives from Hendrix's "Stone Free," the first song that Hendrix wrote after arriving in England in 1966. "Stone Free" was released as the B-side to "Hey ...


September 7, 2010, 8:19 am, 760923
ENTERING THE FINAL STRETCH, AN UGLY FINISH LINE AWAITS.... Traditionally, Labor Day marks the unofficial kickoff the election season. Summer vacations end, kids head back to school, and candidates focus their efforts on connecting with voters, buckling down for the...


September 7, 2010, 12:19 am, 760758
Paul

As I discussed here, the Tea Party Express released a poll last week showing that conservative Christine O'Donnell trails moderate Mike Castle in the Delaware Republican Senate primary by only 6 points among likely voters. The poll also shows that O'Donnell is only 2 points behind Rep. ...


September 7, 2010, 12:18 am, 760757

September 6, 2010, 10:19 pm, 760743
John

A church in Florida is planning to burn copies of the Koran on September 11. That proposal has been widely condemned, and now General Petraeus has entered the fray, warning that such a protest by the church could endanger American servicemen:

The top US commander in Afghanistan said Monday ...


September 6, 2010, 10:19 pm, 760742
John

President Obama tried to go on the offensive today, delivering a hard-hitting campaign speech in Milwaukee. He was accompanied by a couple of Cabinet officers and welcomed several local organized labor officials to the Labor Day event. Senator Herb Kohl, who is not up for re-election this year, ...


September 6, 2010, 10:18 pm, 760741

From Slouching Towards Utopia:

Once the people—the adult, male, white people that is—had the vote, what were they going to do with it?

The coming of (male, white) democracy in the North Atlantic was all mixed up with the coming of modern industry—the move out of agriculture and into industrial ...


September 6, 2010, 10:18 pm, 760740

That is all.


September 6, 2010, 10:18 pm, 760739

Mathew Garrahan:

UCLA business school to end public funding: A leading business school in the University of California system is preparing to forgo public funding amid increasing uncertainty about the state’s economic health and California’s ability to pay for higher education. The UCLA Anderson School of Management ...


September 6, 2010, 10:18 pm, 760738

Normal open market operations swap cash for short-term government bonds, and so affect the short, nominal, safe interest rate. But when the short, nominal safe interest rate is zero, central-bank open market operations are simply swapping one zero-interest safe government asset for another: it is hard to see why ...


September 6, 2010, 10:18 pm, 760737

Paul Krugman:

1938 in 2010: we weren’t supposed to find ourselves replaying the late 1930s. President Obama’s economists promised not to repeat the mistakes of 1937, when F.D.R. pulled back fiscal stimulus too soon. But by making his program ...


September 6, 2010, 10:18 pm, 760736

Matthew Yglesias:

Matthew Yglesias » Impediments to Rapid Recovery From Financial Crisis Are More Political Than Economic: I wrote yesterday that I think the Reinhardt & Reinhardt finding that economies in the wake of a financial crisis typically experience years of slow growth is evidence that such ...


September 6, 2010, 10:18 pm, 760734

That is all.


September 6, 2010, 10:18 pm, 760735

September 6, 1940:

World War II Day-By-Day: Day 372: British aircraft carrier HMS Ark Royal, battleships HMS Barham and HMS Resolution and 10 escort destroyers depart Gibraltar bound for Freetown, Sierra Leone, for refueling. They will join cruisers HMS Devonshire and HMAS Australia to cover landings at ...


September 6, 2010, 10:18 pm, 760733

Tomorrow's high is forecast to be 30F lower than today's high.


September 6, 2010, 8:19 pm, 760722
John

What is unusual about this video footage from early in World War II, just made public after 70 years, is that it is in color. Both Churchill and King George VI make brief appearances:


September 6, 2010, 8:18 pm, 760721

The summer after my first year of graduate school I went back for the last extended time to my parents' home in Washington DC. Joe Pechman, IIRC, got me a desk at the Brookings Institution. And I spent the summer reading as widely as I could and having coffee ...


September 6, 2010, 6:19 pm, 760713
MONDAY'S MINI-REPORT.... Today's edition of quick hits: * Iran: "Three months after the United Nations Security Council enacted its harshest sanctions yet against Iran, global nuclear inspectors reported Monday that the country has dug in its heels, refusing to provide...


September 6, 2010, 4:19 pm, 760707
GOP ATTACKS ON INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT ALREADY UNDERWAY.... I really wish I could understand the way John Boehner's mind works. House Republican leader John Boehner of Ohio Monday criticized President Barack Obama's proposal to boost infrastructure investment as more stimulus spending...


September 6, 2010, 2:19 pm, 760686
John

Lately there has been a spate of news stories attacking Americans as "Islamophobic," largely on the basis of opposition to the Ground Zero Mosque. Time, to cite just one example, did a cover story on this topic. Putting aside the merits of the term "Islamophobia," it seems ...


September 6, 2010, 2:19 pm, 760685
OBAMA EYES INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT TO BOOST THE ECONOMY.... For the last 10 days or so, there's been a lot of talk, most of it in the form of whispers to political reporters, coming out of the White House about the...


September 6, 2010, 2:18 pm, 760683

Fareed Zakaria:

Zakaria: Why America Overreacted to 9/11: Nine years after 9/11, can anyone doubt that Al Qaeda is simply not that deadly a threat? Since that gruesome day in 2001, once governments everywhere began serious countermeasures, Osama bin Laden’s terror network has been unable to launch ...


September 6, 2010, 2:18 pm, 760684

With a multiplier of 2, $50 billion in the first year is 0.3% on the unemployment rate--and it's not clear if we can ramp up an extra $50 billion of infrastructure spending in the first year.

Don't get me wrong: boosting federal infrastructure spending is almost certainly a very good ...


September 6, 2010, 2:18 pm, 760682

A Manager, courtesy of Conor Friedersdorf:

About My Job: The Businessman: A reader writes:

I work for one of the world's largest multinationals, in a position that makes my job description basically "business" - I work on issues touching finance, ...


September 6, 2010, 2:18 pm, 760681

Scott writes:

TheMoneyIllusion » A few of my mistakes: 9. I predicted that aggressive QE would raise long term interest rates, a view which seemed to be refuted by the response on T-bond yields to the March 2009 Fed QE announcement....

I’d like to talk ...


September 6, 2010, 2:18 pm, 760680

The Editor-in-Chief of the New Republic, Marty Peretz:

The New York Times Laments "A Sadly Wary Misunderstanding Of Muslim-Americans." But Really Is It "Sadly Wary" Or A "Misunderstanding" At All?: Muslim life is cheap, most notably to Muslims. And among those Muslims led by the Imam Rauf ...


September 6, 2010, 12:19 pm, 760658
HAGEL WAITS FOR GOP TO 'COME BACK TO ITS SENSES'.... Former Sen. Chuck Hagel (R) of Nebraska hasn't been especially fond of his Republican Party lately, and one assumes his party hasn't been pleased with him either. With this recent...


September 6, 2010, 10:19 am, 760633
HATE-FILLED PASTOR PREACHES TO REPORTERS (AND A FEW ADHERENTS).... Following up on an item from last week, Bill Keller, a hate-filled Christian preacher out of Florida, recently came up with an idea. What lower Manhattan really needs, Keller concluded, is...


September 6, 2010, 10:19 am, 760632
BLAME WHERE BLAME IS DUE.... Some of the results in the new CNN poll on the economy were predictable -- the public really isn't happy -- but the fact that so many continue to blame Republicans comes as a bit...


September 6, 2010, 10:19 am, 760631
THE RATIONALE BEHIND DUBIOUS OPTIMISM.... Whenever Democratic leaders, especially on the Hill, are asked about the likely outcome of the midterm elections, the message is largely the same: the party will not lose its majority. Dems will concede that it's...


September 6, 2010, 8:19 am, 760601
Scott

An Army colonel writes to comment on Paul's post "Must we be boy scouts?" He writes:

In your post you ask if military commanders are just now coming to the conclusion that fighting the enemy is more important that fighting corruption. As an officer with multiple tours in ...


September 6, 2010, 8:19 am, 760600
IT HAS THE ADDED BENEFIT OF BEING TRUE.... On "Fox News Sunday," host Chris Wallace asked Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) -- a frequent guest -- to weigh in on Rep. Paul Ryan's (R-Wis.) budget "roadmap." Specifically, Wallace asked, "Do you...


September 6, 2010, 2:19 am, 760442
Paul

Nolan Carroll was a star defensive back for the University of Maryland until last September, when his college football came to an end due to a horrific leg injury. Following the insertion of a metal rod into his leg, Carroll began a lenghy rehabilitation process, which caused ...


September 6, 2010, 12:19 am, 760433
Paul

Jim Kessler, who worked for then-Rep. Charles Schumer in 1994, argues that the Democrats can survive the 2010 midterms "the Reagan" way - i.e., the way the Republicans survived in 1982. Most of his argument consists, though, of trying to convince us that the Dems have a much better ...


September 6, 2010, 12:18 am, 760432

Courtsesy of TBogg:

Glenn Harlan Reynolds 11/04/2006:

On the other hand, it’s also true that if democracy can’t work in Iraq, then we should probably adopt a “more rubble, less trouble” approach to other countries in the region that threaten us. If a comparatively wealthy and secular Arab ...


September 6, 2010, 12:18 am, 760431