Finance Roundtable
The market forecasters and personal finance
blogs complement the Economics Roundtable.
RSS Feed
Intangible Wealth
"A random walk through the markets and the ecomomy”
January 17, 2011, 1:14 am, 811190
By now you've probably heard that Leonid Hurwicz, Eric Maskin, and Roger Myerson won this year's Nobel economics prize. With all due respect to all concerned, they're to economics as
Dario Fo,
Elfriede Jelinek and
Wislawa Szymborska are to literature.
If you even want to attempt ...
January 17, 2011, 1:14 am, 811189
It's a sign of the times that when the biggest banks of the land announce the creation of a fund to buy debt securities affected by the recent liquidy drought, the reaction is
indifference or even outright
hostility.
No wonder. The cartoonishly-named M-LEC (Master Liquidity Enhancement Conduit) ...
January 17, 2011, 1:14 am, 811187
Mostly unnoticed, the IMF published its semi-annual
World Economic Outlook today (
here's the press release), which is always makes for interesting reading. As expected, it slashed its growth forecast for the U.S. in 2008 to 1.9%, versus the 2.8% it expected as recently as July.
Apparently, ...
January 17, 2011, 1:14 am, 811188
Even if you have a pessimistic bent, the latest housing starts
figures are dispiriting. They fell 10.2% in September, to 1.19 million units, well below the consensus
forecast of 1.28 million units. This translates to a full 31% drop from year-ago levels.
Are we near the ...
January 17, 2011, 1:14 am, 811186
The recent jump in oil prices into record territory has hogged the energy headlines. At the same time, many are wondering why sky high oil hasn't caused more economic damage. I believe part of the answer has to do with natural gas prices, which have held fairly steady for the ...
January 17, 2011, 1:14 am, 811185
I always thought that the term "brain-drain" referred to the emigration of people with high educational and skill levels from poor nations to rich ones. But maybe I'm too narrow minded. The author of The Economist's Europe.view column takes a much broader
view of this concept:
A new ...
January 17, 2011, 1:14 am, 811184
M-LEC, the new entity created by the nation's largest banks to provide liquidity to subprime-linked securities is off to a rough start. Many criticisms have been made, ranging from charges of possible self-dealing by banks to questions on who exactly will provide the funds. But even if you set those ...
January 17, 2011, 1:14 am, 811183
I'm sure you've had enough of that today. But there is a related point worth mentioning.
Why did the crash have so little impact outside of Wall Street (particularly compared to the 90's bubble)? A 34% drop from peak to bottom in the S&P 500 a matter of months ...
January 17, 2011, 1:14 am, 811181
That is, according to options on the federal funds contract. According to the Cleveland Fed's
model, the probability of a 25 basis point cut is about 57%, while a 50 bp cut is assigned a 16% probability and the no change option is given a 26% chance.
It's ...
January 17, 2011, 1:14 am, 811182
Why are almost all houses in the U.S. so similar? This has nothing to do with the real estate market, but with their layout and materials. From Maine to California, the typical home, built out of flimsy wood and stucco, is very similar (it seems almost centrally planned) regardless of ...