Economics Roundtable

March 2017 Fed Funds Rate

What is the effect of a 0.25% change in the Fed Funds rate?.

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March 2017 Payroll Employment

Payroll employment has not grown impressively since 2000. Some baby-boomers retired, but that does not totally account for this graph.

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May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .

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Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.

Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?

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The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.

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Outside the Beltway

April 19, 2017, 4:34 pm, 1739210

After a series of new allegations regarding sexual harassment and a rather highly effective campaign to get advertisers to boycott his show, Fox News Channel has parted ...

April 9, 2017, 12:34 pm, 1736196

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April 7, 2017, 12:34 pm, 1735892

After the jobs reports for January and February, it seemed as though 2017’s jobs market was moving along quite steadily. Today, however, the Bureau of ...

March 31, 2017, 4:34 pm, 1733906

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March 30, 2017, 10:34 am, 1733303

If you listened to the rhetoric coming from Donald Trump from the time he got into the race for President back in 2015 until the time he was elected, ...

March 28, 2017, 6:34 pm, 1732605

Yesterday, team owners in the National Football League approved a plan to move the Oakland Raiders to Las Vegas by 2019:

The N.F.L. gave its approval on Monday for the Oakland Raiders to move to Las Vegas, casting aside ...

March 15, 2017, 4:34 pm, 1728970

For  the second time in three months, but only the third time in the past ten years, the Federal Reserve Board has raised interest rates:

The Federal Reserve delivered the widely expected increase in its benchmark interest ...

March 14, 2017, 6:34 pm, 1728616

This is Part II of the post I started last Friday. This time, I’ll address some of the most popular reform ideas advanced by conservatives.

4) The assumption that we can “return” ...

March 10, 2017, 4:34 pm, 1727676

With the introduction of the House Republican’s proposed plan to replace the Affordable Care Act, which has been roundly criticized by health care ...

March 10, 2017, 12:34 pm, 1727594

The first Jobs Report to cover a full month in the which the Trump Administration was in power continued to show steady, if not entirely impressive, jobs growth that nonetheless ...