Economics Roundtable

March 2017 Fed Funds Rate

What is the effect of a 0.25% change in the Fed Funds rate?.

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March 2017 Payroll Employment

Payroll employment has not grown impressively since 2000. Some baby-boomers retired, but that does not totally account for this graph.

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May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .

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Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.

Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?

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The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.

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Outside the Beltway

July 26, 2017, 4:34 pm, 1766166

A three judge panel of the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals has struck down a District of Columbia law regarding the concealed carry of weapons in the nation’s capital ...

July 25, 2017, 6:34 pm, 1765825

With Vice-President Pence casting the tie-breaking vote, the Senate voted this afternoon to proceed forward with debate on a health care reform bill without knowing which bill they’d be debating:

WASHINGTON — The Senate narrowly voted on Tuesday ...

July 21, 2017, 2:34 am, 1764706

Nancy MacLean is a professor of history at Duke University and she has written a book titled, Democracy in Chains: The Deep History of the Radical Right’s Stealth Plan for America. The book purports to be about a “stealth” plan of how to overthrow democracy of the United ...

July 20, 2017, 2:34 pm, 1764548

Just since the beginning of the month, we’ve seen Senate Republicans delay a planned vote on their health care overhaul until after the July 4th recess because they didn’t have the votes to pass it in its ...

July 18, 2017, 4:34 pm, 1763943

As I noted in updates to this morning’s post, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell’s latest effort on health care reform died within eighteen hours after he first floated it thanks to the defection of three of the ...

July 18, 2017, 12:34 pm, 1763866

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell pulled the plug on the Better Care Reconciliation Act, the Senate’s attempt to ‘repeal and replace’ the Affordable ...

July 17, 2017, 4:34 pm, 1763617

A new poll indicates that the American public opposes the Republican health care reform plan and that support for the Affordable Care Act is hitting new highs:

Republicans racing to pass a bill that would overhaul the Affordable ...

July 16, 2017, 10:34 am, 1763321

The fate of the Senate GOP’s revised health care bill is precarious enough that Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has delayed the Senate’s consideration of the bill due to the fact that a single Senator will be ...

July 13, 2017, 4:34 pm, 1762873

As expected, the Senate GOP leadership unveiled their revised version of the Better Care Reconciliation Act, the proposed plan to ‘repeal and replace’ the Affordable Care Act, but initial reviews don’t seem to provide them much hope ...

July 10, 2017, 12:34 pm, 1761854

The Senate returns to work today after a week-long recess with the leadership apparently determined to make a push to make progress on getting its version of a healthcare bill to the floor and passed,