Economics Roundtable

March 2017 Fed Funds Rate

What is the effect of a 0.25% change in the Fed Funds rate?.

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March 2017 Payroll Employment

Payroll employment has not grown impressively since 2000. Some baby-boomers retired, but that does not totally account for this graph.

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May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


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Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


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Outside the Beltway


April 19, 2017, 4:34 pm, 1739210

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April 9, 2017, 12:34 pm, 1736196

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April 7, 2017, 12:34 pm, 1735892

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March 31, 2017, 4:34 pm, 1733906

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March 30, 2017, 10:34 am, 1733303

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March 28, 2017, 6:34 pm, 1732605

Yesterday, team owners in the National Football League approved a plan to move the Oakland Raiders to Las Vegas by 2019:

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March 15, 2017, 4:34 pm, 1728970

For  the second time in three months, but only the third time in the past ten years, the Federal Reserve Board has raised interest rates:

The Federal Reserve delivered the widely expected increase in its benchmark interest ...


March 14, 2017, 6:34 pm, 1728616

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March 10, 2017, 4:34 pm, 1727676

With the introduction of the House Republican’s proposed plan to replace the Affordable Care Act, which has been roundly criticized by health care ...


March 10, 2017, 12:34 pm, 1727594

The first Jobs Report to cover a full month in the which the Trump Administration was in power continued to show steady, if not entirely impressive, jobs growth that nonetheless ...