Economics Roundtable

March 2017 Fed Funds Rate

What is the effect of a 0.25% change in the Fed Funds rate?.

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March 2017 Payroll Employment

Payroll employment has not grown impressively since 2000. Some baby-boomers retired, but that does not totally account for this graph.

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May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


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Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


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Outside the Beltway


May 5, 2017, 12:34 pm, 1744435

After a disappointing March, the U.S. jobs market bounced back in April to deliver numbers more consistent with what we’d been seeing at the end of 2016 ...


April 28, 2017, 12:34 pm, 1742072

The first estimate of Gross Domestic Product growth during the first quarter of 2017 reveals sluggish economic growth, indicating the difficulty that the Trump Administration faces in reaching its stated goal of ramping up economic growth ...


April 27, 2017, 12:34 pm, 1741652

Yesterday, the Trump Administration rolled out its proposal for tax reform, but so far it’s little more than a summary of bullet points:

WASHINGTON — President Trump on Wednesday proposed sharp reductions in individual and business income tax ...


April 27, 2017, 6:34 am, 1741536

The Worldwide Leader had yet another round of layoffs yesterday, shedding some top on-air talent.

Hollywood Reporter:

ESPN president John Skipper made the announcement on Wednesday, noting that “changes” in the talent ...


April 26, 2017, 4:34 pm, 1741313

In this morning’s posting on former President Obama’s $400,000 speech to an investment bank’s annual conference, I focused on the ethical considerations. The short version: I’m not particularly concerned about this particular instance but have broader concerns about ...


April 19, 2017, 4:34 pm, 1739210

After a series of new allegations regarding sexual harassmentand a rather highly effective campaign to get advertisers to boycott his show, Fox News Channel has parted ...


April 9, 2017, 12:34 pm, 1736196

In yet another example of how cord-cutting is becoming easier, Amazon and the National Football League have announced a deal to stream the league’s Thursday night regular season games ...


April 7, 2017, 12:34 pm, 1735892

After the jobs reports for January and February, it seemed as though 2017’s jobs market was moving along quite steadily. Today, however, the Bureau of ...


March 31, 2017, 4:34 pm, 1733906

SpaceX recorded another success in its efforts to develop reusable rocket technology yesterday when it successfully launched a satellite using a first stage that had already been ...


March 30, 2017, 10:34 am, 1733303

If you listened to the rhetoric coming from Donald Trump from the time he got into the race for President back in 2015 until the time he was elected, ...