Economics Roundtable

Database Maintenance

Over the July 4 holiday, scheduled database maintenance will likely produce some odd reposts as the database resynchonizes to the various blog formats.


Thinking About Jobs

Jeff Frankel lays out a balanced view of the current employment statistics.

Last Month: Jeff Frankel says that the labor market has NOT yet signalled a turning point. Check the graph of weekly hours at the bottom of the page.


Clive Granger, 1934-2009

We have lost an original thinker of the first magnitude. Clive W. J. Granger.


Auctions and Politicians

Catch up on the background for one of the newest areas of Economics Engineering.


The Clark Medal: A Hindcast

David Warsh identifies the likely winners of the John Bates Clark Medal for even-numbered years. The award has, of course, been announced only in odd-numbered years. Who did we miss?


Why Card Issuers Engage In Rate-Jacking

Adam Levitin of Credit Slips explains another "benefit" of securitization. The economics of this market structure are stunningly bad.


The Geithner Plan

Will it work? Paul Krugman says no.
The New York Times' Room for Debate includes Simon Johnson, Brad DeLong, and Mark Toma.


Equilibrium and Meltdown

George Waters addresses the economic crisis and the state of macroeconomics.


Gzing! Gzing! Gzing!

David Warsh offers a fascinating account of the invention of earmarks. Catch his review of So Damn Much Money: The Triumph of Lobbying and the Corrosion of American Government, by Robert G. Kaiser.


Monetary Policy in Three Steps

Step 1: Buy private assets from banks while selling Treasuries, effectively trading private assets for Treasuries, leaving reserves with the Fed unchanged.

Step 2: Buy private assets from banks, paying with deposits with the Fed (new money) because the portfolio of Treasuries is shrinking. Banks make little attempt to convert deposits with the Fed into loans. Nothing much happens to loans and the money supply, but excess reserves explode.

Step 3: Banks start to expand loans on the basis of massive excess reserves. The Fed has to drain hundreds of billions in excess reserves to regain control of the money supply. The Fed does this by selling private assets back to the banks.

We are now well into Step 2. Step 3 should be interesting.


Why AIG was in the CDS Business

Felix Salmon explains how taxpayers get to pay the claims after AIG collected the premiums. It is really very simple.


VoxEU -- Free Online Book

Rescuing our jobs and savings: What G7/8 leaders can do to solve the global credit crisis -- Contents Page

Richard Baldwin, Barry Eichengreen

"Without rapid and coordinated action by G7/8 leaders, this financial crisis could turn into a jobs crisis, a pension crisis and much more. This column introduces a collection of essays by leading economists on what the G7/8 leaders should do this weekend. The dozen essays present a remarkable consensus on a few points: we need immediate, coordinated global action that includes recapitalisation of the banks."


Economic Principals

Congratulations to David Warsh on the occasion of the 25th anniversary of EP.


The First Global Financial Crisis
of the 21st Century

A VoxEU.org Publication

Edited by Andrew Felton and Carmen Reinhart

Download the book.

Read the announcement
and/or download selected chapters.

Review: the topic itself is important, but this book also marks a new direction for online discussion.


Great Articles by Famous Economists

The Library of Economics and Liberty includes The Concise Encyclopeida of Economics. To see how many well-known economists have contributed browse by category .


EconModel

The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.


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July 1, 2009, 4:05 pm, 519800
"Please do not believe all the talk about the green shoots of the Japanese economy, which I suspect you might have heard. We are in pretty bad shape."

[more ...]


June 29, 2009, 2:05 pm, 518305
More than any other country in the world, Japan is a case study in the triumphs of human engineering. Every Japanese manufacturer prides itself on energy efficiency and zero-landfill waste policies. The train and subway stations are models of precision and the application of information technology. Late last week, I ...


June 27, 2009, 8:05 am, 517336
It only seems as though every company in America is downsizing. "We're hiring three or four people every week," says Prem Nath, senior vice president at Ascent Solar, in Thornton, Colo. Spun out of a technology incubator in 2005, the company is ramping up production of thin-film energy-producing cells printed ...


June 26, 2009, 12:05 pm, 517052
I should have suspected something was amiss when we—the group of journalists I'm traveling with in Japan for 10 days—showed up at the offices of the media company Nikkei, and our Japanese counterparts, columnists, and editors apologized for not wearing ties. We had received instructions that meetings were business formal, ...


June 24, 2009, 2:05 pm, 515726
Combine Japanese cultural tendencies toward formality, politesse, and indirection with the usual central banker's love of opacity and econo-jargon, and you'd expect that a meeting with the deputy governor of the Bank of Japan would be a one-way trip into a cloud of vagueness. But in a meeting Monday, Kiyohiko ...


June 22, 2009, 12:05 pm, 514235
The image of Japan as being inhospitable to imports is old, enduring, and not entirely unjustified. The government is offering immigrants from South America—many themselves descendants of Japanese emigrants—$3,000 to return home (the better to free up jobs for native-born Japanese). The vista that meets visitors at Narita Airport is ...


June 18, 2009, 12:05 pm, 512418
The Big Money presents Every Day I Read the Book, featuring Daniel Gross. Dan's guest is Justin Fox, author of the book The Myth of the Rational Market: A History of Risk, Reward, and Delusion on Wall Street.

[more ...]


June 16, 2009, 6:05 pm, 511174
The financial media are desperate to find good news in the troubled finance and housing sectors, the very industries that got us into this mess. This quest for green shoots is frequently comical. Today, the Wall Street Journal featured a piece about new jobs in the financial services industry. Why, ...


June 13, 2009, 10:05 am, 509401
It's shaping up to be a dreadful year for the retail industry. American shoppers generally soldier on through thick and thin, but sales were down more than 2 percent in the first four months of the year, and the fancier the store, the uglier the results. Sales at Tiffany's Fifth ...


June 4, 2009, 6:05 pm, 504895
It's fair to say that 10-year and 30-year Treasury bonds are not subjects that enthrall the American public the way, say, Kate Gosselin does. In the last six months, however, the state of those bonds has become the subject of feverish argument in the economic elite. The interest rate of ...



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