Economics Roundtable

March 2017 Fed Funds Rate

What is the effect of a 0.25% change in the Fed Funds rate?.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


March 2017 Payroll Employment

Payroll employment has not grown impressively since 2000. Some baby-boomers retired, but that does not totally account for this graph.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


Click on the chart for a larger version.


EconModel

The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.


RSS Feed

David Smith’s EconomicsUK.com

"The personal website of David Smith, Economics Editor of the Sunday Times, London.”


July 23, 2017, 4:04 am, 1765082
My regular column is available to subscribers on www.thesundaytimes.co.uk This is an excerpt. After a week in which we have been offered a joyous glimpse into what some of the BBC’s highest paid on-air presenters and stars earn –...


July 16, 2017, 4:04 am, 1763294
My regular column is available to subscribers on www.thesundaytimes.co.uk This is an excerpt. One of the great disadvantages of being a member of the Bank of England’s monetary policy committee (MPC) is that unless you say something about interest...


July 9, 2017, 4:04 am, 1761576
My regular column is available to subscribers on www.thesundaytimes.co.uk This is an excerpt. Businesses are troubled, and so are consumers. The election a month ago delivered the worst possible outcome in terms of the stability and certainty that the...


July 2, 2017, 4:04 am, 1760076
My regular column is available to subscribers on www.thesundaytimes.co.uk This is an excerpt. What do you need for a successful policy of deficit reduction, of eliminating the government’s annual borrowing and beginning the process of reducing public sector debt?...


June 25, 2017, 4:04 am, 1758150
My regular column is available to subscribers on www.thesundaytimes.co.uk This is an excerpt. One year on from the vote, and a couple of weeks on from an election that threw an almighty spanner into the works, the formal negotiations...


June 18, 2017, 4:04 am, 1756449
My regular column is available to subscribers on www.thesundaytimes.co.uk This is an excerpt. Many years ago, as somebody who took a keen interest in monetarism, I was interested to see how a precise economic term – controlling the money...


June 11, 2017, 4:04 am, 1754739
My regular column is available to subscribers on www.thesundaytimes.co.uk This is an excerpt. This time last week I devoted quite a lot of space to the prospect of a hung parliament, pointing out that whereas two years ago it...


June 4, 2017, 4:04 am, 1752923
My regular column is available to subscribers on www.thesundaytimes.co.uk This is an excerpt. I know you are as keen for this general election to be over as much as I am, and that you are probably not expecting Friday...


May 28, 2017, 4:04 am, 1751228
My regular column is available to subscribers on www.thesundaytimes.co.uk This is an excerpt. There are only 11 days to go until the general election and there is still a lot we do not know. That is even on the...


May 21, 2017, 4:04 am, 1749399
My regular column is available to subscribers on www.thesundaytimes.co.uk This is an excerpt. This election is turning out to be a bit more interesting than I was expecting although, unless the polls are spectacularly wrong, though they are narrowing,...