Economics Roundtable

NOTICE 9/30/177

The Economics Roundtable website has been up and running for a couple of days now. Further periods of testing will be necessary. The RSS feed is still not working. The left sidebar links are also probably not updating correctly.

The problems were caused by updates to the programming language php and to the Apache operating system. It is taking time to track down the problems this causes with my system. - Bill Parke

March 2017 Fed Funds Rate

What is the effect of a 0.25% change in the Fed Funds rate?.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

March 2017 Payroll Employment

Payroll employment has not grown impressively since 2000. Some baby-boomers retired, but that does not totally account for this graph.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.

Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?

Click on the chart for a larger version.


The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.

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"Analysis on corporate strategy, economics, some occasional neuroscience, and anything else that interests me”

October 10, 2017, 10:35 pm, 1783325

Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras announced on Wednesday that his country’s newest bailout proposal has been denied by the regions creditors.

Some of Tsipras’ supporters in the Syriza government party that propelled him to power have been ...

October 10, 2017, 10:35 pm, 1783326

If you are going to disrupt an industry or take over an established field you need to have a strong set of actionable business items that can help you succeed. Whether you need to “analyze your competition” or ...

October 10, 2017, 10:35 pm, 1783327

The uninsured rate in the US has decreased by nearly one-fifth and it has reached record lows just one full year after the Affordable Care Act was fully implemented according to data ...

October 10, 2017, 10:35 pm, 1783328

Matthew Yglesias wrote a perceptive piece at Vox this weekend on the “mystery” surrounding unfilled jobs. Basically, there are a lot of job openings right now but they ...

October 10, 2017, 10:35 pm, 1783324

Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren wants us to bank at our local post office. The politician and consumer advocate has announced a plan that would bring budget-priced banking services to U.S. citizens.

In May 2015, the USPS said it had lost $1.5 ...

October 10, 2017, 10:35 pm, 1783323

Millennials are spending less on vacations and their thrifty getaways are causing a headache for the travel industry. According to travel insurance company Allianz Global Assistance, “Summer travel will actually increase by one-half of a percent in 2015.”

The company ...

October 10, 2017, 10:35 pm, 1783320

Facebook closed on Wednesday with stock prices reaching a record $88.86 per share, valuing the company at just under $250 billion.

Analysts have been very bullish on Facebook in recent months thanks to stronger than expected ...

October 10, 2017, 10:35 pm, 1783321

Supermarket chain Whole Foods has outright denied claims that customers in New York City were being overcharged by the fresh food provider. The company has been backed into a corner after an investigation by the New ...

October 10, 2017, 10:35 pm, 1783322

The labor force in 22 of the 50 United States is going to shrink over the next 15 years according to state-by-state projections of the working-age population from the Conference Board.

In terms of loss, Vermont ...

October 10, 2017, 10:35 pm, 1783319

The word “bailout” became ubitious during the Great Recession. From banks “too big to fail” to the faltering auto industry in Detroit, Washington has been the go-to lender of last resort for many American companies.

And the ...