Economics Roundtable

March 2017 Fed Funds Rate

What is the effect of a 0.25% change in the Fed Funds rate?.

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March 2017 Payroll Employment

Payroll employment has not grown impressively since 2000. Some baby-boomers retired, but that does not totally account for this graph.

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May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


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Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


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Carpe Diem - AEI (Mark J. Perry)


April 22, 2017, 11:33 am, 1740096

April 21, 2017, 7:33 pm, 1740046

AEI
Recommended reading for Earth Day 2017: ‘Recycling is garbage’ from the NYT in 1996 – it broke hate mail record

Tomorrow is Earth Day and to recognize that annual environmental holy day, I recommend reading the classic 1996 New York Times Magazine article titled “


April 21, 2017, 5:33 pm, 1740006

April 20, 2017, 7:33 pm, 1739646

April 20, 2017, 5:33 pm, 1739616

April 20, 2017, 11:33 am, 1739494

AEI
Cargill CEO: Let’s collectively stand up for free trade and resist the currents of protectionism

Cargill CEO Dave MacLennan spoke on March 28 at a global meeting on commodity trading in Lausanne, Switzerland, sponsored by the Financial Times of London. The title of MacLennan’s talk ...


April 19, 2017, 5:33 pm, 1739245

April 19, 2017, 1:33 pm, 1739158

AEI
In early observance of Earth Day 2017, some brilliant wit and wisdom from George Carlin on ‘saving the planet’

Green trigger warning: This blog post may be upsetting to those who consider Earth Day to be a green holy day of ...


April 19, 2017, 1:33 pm, 1739157

AEI
Video of the day: Johan Norberg explains how protectionism destroys more jobs that it saves

According to President Trump, his trade advisers, other politicians and many US domestic industries competing with foreign rivals, we need trade protectionism to stop foreign competitors, ...


April 17, 2017, 5:33 pm, 1738528

Greg Mankiw recently pointed to an NBER research paper “Fifty Years of Growth in American Consumption, Income, and Wages,” by Bruce Sacerdote, with some really interesting results and findings that run counter to the media narrative of a stagnating/disappearing/struggling middle class in America. Some key excerpts appear below ...