Economics Roundtable

May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.

Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?

Click on the chart for a larger version.


The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.

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Moneyness (JP Koning)

July 26, 2016, 1:34 pm, 1657331

Proponents of helicopter money have been getting a lot of press lately, but I don't really get what all the excitement is about. I live in Canada, and no nation is closer to implementing helicopter ...

July 8, 2016, 11:34 am, 1652058

If you haven't heard, protests are breaking out in Zimbabwe and unpaid civil servants are going on strike. This sort of thing hasn't happened in many years.

June 28, 2016, 1:34 pm, 1649210

I last wrote about Fedwire data two years ago. Since then, Fedwire has entered into a (nominal) recession. Is this something we need to worry about?

June 15, 2016, 11:34 pm, 1645813
Early map of Fedwire. Source: FRBNY
The pace of Fedcoin sightings has been accelerating this year. If you're new to this blog, Fedcoin is ...

June 7, 2016, 1:34 pm, 1643354
A Zimbabwean washes U.S. dollars, from NPR Planet Money
Here's a surprising development.

Zimbabwe, a dollarized nation, is on the verge ...

June 2, 2016, 1:34 pm, 1642003

Say the San Francisco Fed decided to secede from the Federal Reserve System or the Bank of Greece started to print its own euro notes without the consent of the Eurosystem. What happens ...

May 27, 2016, 3:34 pm, 1640509
Electrum coins [source]
First proposed by economist Alfred Marshall in the late 19th century as an alternative metallic standard to the gold, silver and bimetallic ...

May 20, 2016, 3:34 pm, 1638512

Remember all the hoopla about Japanese buying safety deposit boxes to hold cash in response to the Bank of Japan's decision to set negative rates? Here is ...

May 16, 2016, 9:34 am, 1636881
COINING IN PARIS c. 1500 (From a French print c. 1755)
Not all debasements, or reductions ...

May 6, 2016, 1:34 pm, 1633872

What's the main difference between our modern monetary system and the system they had in the medieval ages? Most of you will probably answer something along the lines ...