Economics Roundtable

Technical Problems 3/9/15

The website was down several hours today, but is back up now.


May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


Click on the chart for a larger version.


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Moneyness (JP Koning)


June 30, 2015, 1:33 am, 1499032
This 2 euro coin is issued by Monaco, which is not a member of the Eurozone
Grexit isn't what people take it to be. The standard ...


June 25, 2015, 11:33 am, 1496950
Over the last few decades, dollars have become incredibly heterogeneous. People can pay for stuff with traditional paper bank notes, debit cards, or a plethora of different credit cards. Each of these ...


June 16, 2015, 3:33 pm, 1492073

On Twitter, Noah Smith asks:
...


June 12, 2015, 3:33 pm, 1490316


Bitcoin was supposed to result in the bitcoinization of the world; instead, I'd argue that the world of bitcoin is being dollarized.

A successful medium of exchange will be ...


June 5, 2015, 11:33 pm, 1486930

It's pretty simple, really. For any medium of exchange to displace another as a means for buying stuff, users need come out ahead. And this isn't happening with bitcoin.

We ...


May 26, 2015, 11:33 pm, 1480876


This post is about the Alberta Prosperity Certificate, one of the world's stranger monetary experiments. Issued in late 1936 and early 1937 by the newly-elected Alberta government, these ...


May 14, 2015, 1:33 pm, 1474587


The FT makes a hullabaloo out of Greece using special drawing rights (SDR) to pay the IMF earlier this week, referring to the step as "unusual." Zero Hedge predictably 


May 11, 2015, 11:33 pm, 1472499

Measuring liquidity is a pain in the ass.

The value of a good, say an apple, is easy to calculate; just look at the market price for apples. ...


May 4, 2015, 5:33 pm, 1467394



It would be wrong to blame the economics blogosphere's failure to foresee the 2008 credit crisis on complacency. Better to say that bloggers were distracted. Instead of sifting through sub-prime and CDO data, they were grappling with ...


April 24, 2015, 11:33 am, 1461268
Unfathomable Depths by Ibai Acevedo
Denmark's Nationalbank and the Swiss National Bank are the world's most interesting central banks right now. As the ...