Economics Roundtable

Technical Problems 1/21/15

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May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


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Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


Click on the chart for a larger version.


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Liberty Street Economics (NY Fed)

Liberty Street Economics features insight and analysis from economists working at the intersection of research and Fed policymaking. 


February 25, 2015, 7:33 am, 1428661
Stefania Albanesi, Jaromir Nosal, Zachary Bleemer, andMatthewPloenzke

Second in a two-part series
Our previous post showed that the 2005 Bankruptcy Abuse Prevention and Consumer Protection Act (BAPCPA) was associated with ...


February 23, 2015, 7:33 am, 1427119
Stefania Albanesi, Jaromir Nosal, Zachary Bleemer, andMatthewPloenzke


First in a two-part series Personal bankruptcy was introduced in the United States through the Bankruptcy Act of 1978. After passage of the act, bankruptcy rates ...


February 20, 2015, 7:33 am, 1425945
Meta Brown, Andrew Haughwout, Donghoon Lee, Joelle Scally, and Wilbert van der Klaauw


Third in a three-part series Student debt continues to make headlines because of its high balances and high ...


February 19, 2015, 7:33 am, 1425173
Meta Brown, Andrew Haughwout, Donghoon Lee, Joelle Scally, and Wilbert van der Klaauw


Second in a three-part series Most of our previous discussion about high levels of student loan delinquency and ...


February 18, 2015, 7:33 am, 1424348
Meta Brown, Andrew Haughwout, Donghoon Lee, Joelle Scally, and Wilbert van der Klaauw




Student loans have recently attracted a huge amount of attention from the press and policymakers. ...


February 17, 2015, 11:33 am, 1423758
Meta Brown, Andrew Haughwout, Donghoon Lee, Joelle Scally, and Wilbert van der Klaauw

Today, the New York Fed released the Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit for the fourth quarter of 2014. The report is based on data from the New York Fed’s Consumer Credit Panel, a nationally ...


February 13, 2015, 7:33 am, 1421949
Amy Farber



It’s almost Valentine’s Day, and we’re not asking you questions or dispensing advice about it—that’s not (yet) our business. However, we can offer two attempts at humor ...


February 11, 2015, 7:33 am, 1420346
James Vickery, Angela Deng, and Tara Sullivan

It’s natural to think of banks as intermediaries that take in deposits and use them to make loans to businesses and individuals. But in fact, loans make up only 45 percent of the assets of U.S. banking organizations. What’s the ...


February 9, 2015, 7:33 am, 1418800
Nina Boyarchenko

Forming long-term partnerships with customers and suppliers often creates a competitive advantage for firms because it permits resource sharing, eases financial constraints, and encourages investment in relationship-specific capital. While these relationships can be beneficial, they also increase firms’ exposure to their counterparties’ risk. In a ...


February 6, 2015, 9:33 am, 1417666
Linda Goldberg, John Rogers, Luca Dedola, and Livio Stracca



International financial flows are a key feature of the global landscape and ...