Economics Roundtable

Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.

Finally, it's hard to argue against the payroll employment graph below (straight from FRED) and the comparison across recessions (courtesy of Calculated Risk).


Looking Up At 2001

In February 2001, U.S. payroll employment peaked at 132.5 million. The November 2011 figure of 131.7 million still falls 800,000 jobs short of the earlier peak.


Click on the chart for a larger version.


November Payroll Employment


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


Click on the chart for a larger version.


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January 31, 2012, 2:35 pm, 947470

The Congressional Budget Office’s new budget and economic outlook is out, and as usual, it really doesn’t seem all that bad when you look at their “baseline” numbers.  (Deficits as a share of GDP over ...


January 23, 2012, 10:35 am, 944620

It’s a proposal that has come up over and over again in President Obama’s budget, and one that I hope will come up yet again.  In my column in today’s Tax Notes (subscription-only access here), ...


January 18, 2012, 2:35 pm, 943045

The Washington Post’s Ruth Marcus points out that if Mitt Romney really cares about the poor, he has a funny way of showing it–in this case, regarding his ideas for fiscal policy reforms:

“I’m ...


January 17, 2012, 2:35 pm, 942569

Well, this is going to raise some voters’ eyebrows:

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January 9, 2012, 2:35 pm, 939674

Bruce Bartlett has a new book coming out in a couple weeks; you can pre-order it on Amazon here.  It looks like another great piece of work from Bruce.  Here’s a excerpt from the ...


January 4, 2012, 2:35 pm, 938017

In my column in this week’s Tax Notes–in which Grover Norquist has been named 2011 “tax person of the year,” by the way ...


December 29, 2011, 12:35 am, 936123

In my latest column in the Christian Science Monitor, I complain about how our politicians often take extreme positions and claim they’re just representing the best interests of their constituents.  Like when Republicans (egged on by anti-tax lobbyists) claim that tax increases on the rich ...


December 27, 2011, 10:35 am, 935530

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December 22, 2011, 8:35 am, 934417

I’m busy with holiday preparations, and frankly, there’s not much to say of substance about the (still depressing and still unresolved) payroll tax cut issue, but I thought I’d point readers to Washington ...


December 19, 2011, 12:35 pm, 933113

The Washington Post’s Chris Cillizza stated the obvious in Sunday’s Washington Post:  “Congress is unpopular.”  And deservedly so, because as Chris explains (in print but also in a nice video on that web ...