Economics Roundtable

NOTICE 9/30/177

The Economics Roundtable website has been up and running for a couple of days now. Further periods of testing will be necessary. The RSS feed is still not working. The left sidebar links are also probably not updating correctly.

The problems were caused by updates to the programming language php and to the Apache operating system. It is taking time to track down the problems this causes with my system. - Bill Parke

March 2017 Fed Funds Rate

What is the effect of a 0.25% change in the Fed Funds rate?.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

March 2017 Payroll Employment

Payroll employment has not grown impressively since 2000. Some baby-boomers retired, but that does not totally account for this graph.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.

Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?

Click on the chart for a larger version.


The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.

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The Hearing

"Decoding the Economic Policy Debate with Simon Johnson and James Kwak”

March 18, 2011, 12:37 pm, 834672
Dogs were once shot, drowned and electrocuted at Michael Vick’s old home in Southeastern Virginia. Now a dog rescue group is trying to purchase the property.

March 18, 2011, 12:37 pm, 834671

March 18, 2011, 12:37 pm, 834670
Former president Jean-Bertrand Aristide returned home to Haiti on Friday after nearly seven years in exile in South Africa, promising to serve his country “with love” but making no direct reference to a crucial presidential election just 48 hours away.

March 18, 2011, 12:37 pm, 834669

March 18, 2011, 12:37 pm, 834668
At least 34 anti-government protesters were killed when Yemeni government supporters and security forces attacked them in the capital city’s Change Square immediately after Friday’s Muslim prayers, a medical team at the demonstration said.

March 18, 2011, 12:37 pm, 834667
MADISON, Wis. — A Wisconsin judge issued a temporary restraining order Friday blocking the state’s new and contentious collective bargaining law from taking effect, a measure that drew tens of thousands of protesters to the state Capitol and sent some Democrats fleeing to Illinois in an attempt to block a ...

March 18, 2011, 10:37 am, 834610
The two black Lincoln Navigators — the first was deemed unacceptable because of the color of the interior — could end up costing D.C. taxpayers more than $30,000 for just a few weeks of use.

March 18, 2011, 10:37 am, 834609

March 18, 2011, 10:37 am, 834608
Capture the action from the opening round to the national title game.

March 18, 2011, 10:37 am, 834606
India’s prime minister denied Friday any involvement in or knowledge of a bribery scandal arising from U.S. diplomatic cables obtained by WikiLeaks and published in the Indian media, and he questioned the cables’ credibility.