Economics Roundtable

May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .

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Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.

Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?

Click on the chart for a larger version.


The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

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Crisis Talk

"Policy ideas on the financial crisis”

The World Bank Group

September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674555

The World Economic Forum has released its Financial Development Report 2009, which scores and ranks 55 of the world’s leading financial systems and capital markets according to their level of financial development. It analyzes the drivers of financial system development and economic growth in developed and developing countries to serve ...

September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674556

Editor's note: Sebastian Weber and Charles Wyplosz are from the Graduate Institute in Geneva. They are the authors of a World Bank working paper on Exchange Rates during the Crisis.

A key leitmotiv as the financial crisis unfolded was to avoid a repeat of the policy mistakes of the ...

September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674557

Most emerging markets are having a better crisis than their G7 counterparts. One sign of robustness in emerging markets is the growing importance of their local bond markets. A new paper from Vox by Ismali Dalla and Heiko Hesse (of the IMF) takes a look at how local-currency bond markets are becoming a ...

September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674558

Editor's Note: Nadia Piffaretti is an assistant to the Chief Economist at the World Bank Group and a Special Assistant to the Senior Vice President. She is the author of an upcoming paper on Reshaping the International Monetary Architecture.

The crisis has taught us that economists ought to believe ...

September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674554

European exports declined by 5.8 percent last month, the biggest drop since last January.

Understanding the European Central Bank means looking at its individual members.

The economic blogosphere really is a remarkable resource.

Bloggers at the IMF's ask, Did Islamic Banks in the ...

September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674553

One sign of crisis abatement is the downward slide of the US dollar. As the market rediscovers its appetite for risk, the dollar's appeal as a safe haven currency diminishes. Indeed, the dollar has become the de facto carry trade currency

The market has renewed its faith in emerging ...

September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674550

Bloggers at the IMF are looking at why Latin America fared better in this crisis than during previous episodes of financial duress. Their explanation: financial soundness mixed with enhanced credibility.

This improvement can be attributed to the fact that the region faced the crisis equipped with economic policy frameworks ...

September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674551

Our friends at PBS have released a couple of interesting crisis-related television programs this week.

First, Charlie Rose has an excellent interview with Andrew Ross Sorkin (type Sorkin's name into the Charlie Rose search window to access the ...

September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674552

There is an interesting article in Econbrowser by Willem Thorbecke of the Asian Development Bank, which looks at East Asian Production Networks, Global Imbalances, and Exchange Rate Coordination.

Thorbecke highlights the important relationship between exchange rates and production chains in East Asia, arguing for increased policy coordination between ...

September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674549

John Authers argues that the newsworthy economic story of late isn't dollar weakness; rather, it is the weak renminbi:

Many, if not most, hopes for global recovery are pinned on China buying goods from countries such as Brazil. Commodity prices, a key driver of equities and forex rates, also move in response ...