Economics Roundtable

May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


Click on the chart for a larger version.


EconModel

The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.


RSS Feed

DataPoints:  The Dismal Scientist

"A free and open exchange on the economy, and other things.”

by Moody’s Economy.com, a division of Moody’s Analytics.


September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674676

Export-dependent economies such as the Philippines are vulnerable to external shocks, Katrina Ell tells Bloomberg News.


September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674677

How did Hurricane Irene affect the U.S. economic landscape? Ryan Sweet examines the impact on PBS' Nightly Business Report (starts at 6:00 minutes).


September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674678

Policymakers can and likely will do more to support the economy, Mark Zandi tells Bloomberg News.


September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674679

The risks are rising, but skilled policy can keep the U.S. out of recession, Mark Zandi tells CBS News


September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674675

The latest FOMC minutes show the central bank trimming its view of U.S. potential growth, Mark Zandi tells CNBC.


September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674674

U.S. payrolls were flat in August, and the unemployment rate stayed at 9.1%. Mark Zandi discusses the numbers with CNBC.


September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674671

Washington gridlock nudges up the odds of a new downturn, Mark Zandi tells CBS' "Face the Nation."


September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674672

Even with a plan, the jobless rate may not fall below 9% in 2012, Mark Zandi tells Bloomberg.


September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674673

After a string of bleak numbers, the outlook is looking dimmer but not hopeless. Mark Zandi discusses with CNBC.


September 18, 2016, 11:23 pm, 1674670

September's U.S. employment report shows tepid growth and no change in the unemployment rate. Mark Zandi comments on CNBC.