Economics Roundtable

May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


Click on the chart for a larger version.


EconModel

The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.


RSS Feed

The Aleph Blog (David Markel)


August 20, 2016, 7:24 am, 1666130

Photo Credit: Wayne Stadler || Most of us have limited vision, myself included

=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
=-=-=

In the time I have ...


August 19, 2016, 5:24 am, 1665860

Before I start this evening, thanks to Dividend Growth Investor for telling me about this book.

This is an obscure little book published in 1966.  The title is direct, simple, and descriptive. ...


August 18, 2016, 7:24 am, 1665521

Photo Credit: elycefeliz || Enron and some other US corporations have been ethics-hostile places also

=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-

Yesterday I gave a talk on ethics to the incoming class at The Johns ...


August 16, 2016, 7:24 am, 1664777

Photo Credit: Fortune Live Media

-=-=-=-=-=-=

Yesterday, Berkshire Hathaway issued a press release:

WARNING – On-Line Article Regarding Warren Buffett, BREXIT and Anderson Cooper is a Fraud


August 16, 2016, 5:24 am, 1664740

Photo Credit: Nick Ares

-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-

Would you like a 100 million-plus percent return on your money in a little more than four years? You would? Well, it can be done, but ...


July 27, 2016, 5:24 pm, 1657856
June 2016July 2016CommentsInformation received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in April indicates that the pace of improvement in the labor market has slowed while growth in economic activity appears to have picked up.Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in June indicates that the labor market ...


July 5, 2016, 11:24 am, 1651021

Picture Credit: Bloomberg

=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-

Rates can go lower from here.  For as long as I can remember, I have been told by many experts that rates can’t go lower, ...


June 24, 2016, 5:24 am, 1648101

Picture Credit: Peanuts Reloaded || Roughly: “Perhaps today Brexit; Monday an exit from ...


June 17, 2016, 5:24 am, 1646189

When do you admit that you are wrong?  Do you do it publicly?  Do you hide it?

Do you hide it plain sight?

When I look at the graph for Fed funds for 2017 and later, I think the FOMC is admitting that they were wrong for ...


June 15, 2016, 3:24 pm, 1645712

Photo Credit: Norman Maddeaux

=-=-=-=-

April 2016June 2016CommentsInformation received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March indicates that labor market conditions have improved further even as ...