Economics Roundtable

May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


Click on the chart for a larger version.


EconModel

The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.


RSS Feed

The Aleph Blog (David Markel)


December 6, 2016, 7:23 am, 1700096

Photo Credit: Daniele Dalledonne || Ever been to a place where everything was a little past its prime, but showed that it was a beautiful place in ...


December 4, 2016, 7:23 am, 1699591

Photo Credit: elycefeliz || Duck, it’s a financial crisis!

==================================================
=============

Should a credit analyst care about financial leverage?  Of course, the amount and ...


December 2, 2016, 9:23 am, 1699229

Picture Credit: Third Way Think Tank || Lousy name, but technology moves on and capital gets recycled

==========================================
=====================

Howard Simons said many other intelligent things, but there is one ...


November 30, 2016, 9:23 am, 1698539

Photo Credit: F Delventhal

========================================
====================

Most days, I don’t trade.  I study.  I model.  I muse.  I plan.

There are some clever traders out there.  I am not one of them.  What ...


November 29, 2016, 7:23 am, 1698129

Photo Credit: Jessica Lucia || That kid was like me… always carrying and reading a lot of books.

===========================================

I
f you knew me when I was young, you might not have ...


November 27, 2016, 5:23 am, 1697570

Photo Credit: Dave Reid

==========================================

I
217;ve thought about this problem before, but always thought it was more of a curiosity until I read this on page 66 of Jeff Gramm’s ...


November 26, 2016, 5:23 am, 1697456

Photo Credit: amira_a

======================================

Three
months ago, I bumped against my upper cash limit.  After that, I put an additional 6% of funds into the market.  Now cash is ...


November 22, 2016, 5:23 am, 1696408

Photo Credit: Attila Malarik || In many but not all situations, doing half is a smart idea!

==================================

Four major stock indexes, the DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq, Russell 2000 all ...


November 20, 2016, 5:23 am, 1695856

Photo Credit: ljmacphee

=======================================

Th
ere is a statement commonly made that firms in the US aren’t doing as well as they can in the long-run because the calculation of quarterly earnings ...


November 18, 2016, 5:23 am, 1695433

Photo Credit: Michael Mandiberg

=========================================
==========

Well, I’m back in suburban Baltimore after the struggle of getting to the the center of DC and back.  It takes a lot ...