Economics Roundtable

May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


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Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


Click on the chart for a larger version.


EconModel

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macroblog

"The Atlanta Fed’s macroblog provides commentary on economic topics including monetary policy, macroeconomic developments, financial issues and Southeast regional trends.

Authors for macroblog are Dave Altig and other Atlanta Fed economists.”


February 13, 2017, 3:23 pm, 1719416

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Though it ticked up slightly in January, the U.S. unemployment rate is arguably at, or near, its long-run ...


February 7, 2017, 1:23 pm, 1717498

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Real gross domestic product (GDP) grew at an annualized rate of 1.9 percent in the fourth quarter, according to the advance estimate from the U.S. ...


February 6, 2017, 5:23 pm, 1717221

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The Labor Department announced on Friday that January's unemployment rate was 4.8 percent, only 10 basis points below the level in January 2016. You can ...


January 23, 2017, 1:23 pm, 1712821

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As measured by the Atlanta Fed's Wage Growth Tracker, the typical wage increase of a U.S. worker ...


January 3, 2017, 5:23 pm, 1707405

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December 16, 2016, 11:23 am, 1703211

Central banks in the developed countries have adopted a variety of extraordinary measures since the financial crisis, including large-scale asset purchases and very low (and in some cases negative) policy rates in an effort to boost economic activity. The Atlanta Fed recently hosted a workshop titled "


December 5, 2016, 9:23 am, 1699796

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November 28, 2016, 3:23 pm, 1697947

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November 22, 2016, 9:23 am, 1696476

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November 15, 2016, 3:23 pm, 1694487

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