Economics Roundtable

NOTICE 9/30/177

The Economics Roundtable website has been up and running for a couple of days now. Further periods of testing will be necessary. The RSS feed is still not working. The left sidebar links are also probably not updating correctly.

The problems were caused by updates to the programming language php and to the Apache operating system. It is taking time to track down the problems this causes with my system. - Bill Parke

March 2017 Fed Funds Rate

What is the effect of a 0.25% change in the Fed Funds rate?.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

March 2017 Payroll Employment

Payroll employment has not grown impressively since 2000. Some baby-boomers retired, but that does not totally account for this graph.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.

Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?

Click on the chart for a larger version.


The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.

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- Introduction

Economics Coverage

The Commentators section of the Economics Roundtable compiles links to news and opinions from a wide range of web sites.  The intent is to select items related to economics.  Sites are selected on the basis of how difficult it is to separate the economics content from the political, personal, etc. content.  No effort has been made to screen sites on the basis of any agreement or disagreement with the content.

A Note for Prospective and Current Commentators

The Economics Roundtable is not a forum for news about your cat/dog/hamster, details of last night’s date/dinner/dancing, opinions about politicians/wars, weather reports, movie reviews, or your blog’s need for donations.  The editorial policy aims to feature only economics.

Blogging software generally includes the ability to tag each entry with a “category” or “subject”.  For some blogs, the Roundtable just lists 100% of the entries, tolerating the occasional off-topic post.  For other blogs, the Roundtable picks up specific categories (e.g, “economics") or excludes specific categories (e.g., “politics").  If your blog is not a very high percentage “economics,” then using meaningful categories/subjects may still make it possible to get listed on the Roundtable.


The “Recent Entries” page carries entries for a 24 to 48 hour period.  At about midnight Pacific Time (U.S.), the list is trimmed to the previous 24 hours.  Throughout the day, the list then grows to include 48 hours of entries.  This means that if you check the “Recent Entries” page during the day on Tuesday, you will see all of Monday and part of Tuesday.  Daily visitors receive complete coverage.