Economics Roundtable

Technical Problems 3/9/15

The website was down several hours today, but is back up now.


May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


Click on the chart for a larger version.


EconModel

The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.


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April 27, 2015, 1:03 am, 1462110

Ohio Gov. John Kasich elaborated on his possible presidential run Sunday, saying that he’ll decide based on his fundraising outlook and odds of success.

“I’ve taken another big step, for me, which is to create a political organization to begin to accumulate more resources so I can travel more robustly and ...


April 26, 2015, 5:03 pm, 1462075

Ohio Gov. John Kasich elaborated on his possible presidential run Sunday, saying that he’ll decide based on his fundraising outlook and odds of success.

“I’ve taken another big step, for me, which is to create a political organization to begin to accumulate more resources so I can travel more robustly and ...


April 26, 2015, 1:03 pm, 1462055

Harvard professor Roland Fryer, an economist who has done pioneering work on the sources and magnitude of racial inequality, won the John Bates Clark medal, which is given to the most promising American economist under 40 years old.


April 26, 2015, 1:03 pm, 1462056

Recent decisions by the European Union’s executive arm not to punish countries for violating fiscal rules, weaken their credibility and raise doubt on whether the EU’s rules can be a basis for confidence, a member of the European Central Bank‘s Executive Board said Friday.

In remarks prepared for delivery in Florence, ...


April 26, 2015, 1:03 pm, 1462054
Next week’s roster of reports will bring a first look at the winter economy, two readings of consumer optimism, consumer income and spending and factory surveys. All that plus a two-day Fed meeting! In a busy week, here are five things to watch:


April 25, 2015, 1:03 am, 1461635

Recent decisions by the European Union’s executive arm not to punish countries for violating fiscal rules, weaken their credibility and raise doubt on whether the EU’s rules can be a basis for confidence, a member of the European Central Bank‘s Executive Board said Friday.

In remarks prepared for delivery in Florence, ...


April 25, 2015, 1:03 am, 1461634

Harvard professor Roland Fryer, an economist who has done pioneering work on the sources and magnitude of racial inequality, won the John Bates Clark medal, which is given to the most promising American economist under 40 years old.


April 25, 2015, 1:03 am, 1461633
Next week’s roster of reports will bring a first look at the winter economy, two readings of consumer optimism, consumer income and spending and factory surveys. All that plus a two-day Fed meeting! In a busy week, here are five things to watch:


April 24, 2015, 5:03 pm, 1461437

Recent decisions by the European Union’s executive arm not to punish countries for violating fiscal rules, weaken their credibility and raise doubt on whether the EU’s rules can be a basis for confidence, a member of the European Central Bank‘s Executive Board said Friday.

In remarks prepared for delivery in Florence, ...


April 24, 2015, 5:03 pm, 1461435
Next week’s roster of reports will bring a first look at the winter economy, two readings of consumer optimism, consumer income and spending and factory surveys. All that plus a two-day Fed meeting! In a busy week, here are five things to watch: