Economics Roundtable

Database Maintenance 7/4/15

Routine database maintenance will induce some duplicated items for the next day or two.


May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


Click on the chart for a larger version.


EconModel

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WSJ:  Real Time Economics

"Economic insight and analysis from the Wall Street Journal.”


August 1, 2015, 7:03 pm, 1520185
The first week of August brings important data readings that are sure to catch the notice of Federal Reserve officials.


August 1, 2015, 7:03 pm, 1520190
Brad Breitbach uses a surfboard to protest against the Trans-Pacific Partnership talks on Hawaiis island of Maui. WILL MAULDIN/THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

Some of the bitterest foes ...


August 1, 2015, 7:03 pm, 1520188

MOSCOW–The Bank of Russia cut interest rates Friday for the fifth time this year citing economic risks, but declined to commit on whether there would be further monetary easing.

The central bank slashed the key rate by 50 basis points to 11%, in line with the market consensus, taking its total ...


August 1, 2015, 7:03 pm, 1520189

The Wall Street Journal’s Daily Report on Global Central Banks for Friday, July 31, 2015:

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Highlights

Hilsenrath’s Take: GDP Data Support a Soon-and-Slow Rate Hike Strategy Modest Growth in U.S. Economy


August 1, 2015, 7:03 pm, 1520186
Of the 10 busiest U.S. markets for home construction, those that grew the fastest in this year’s first half from the same period a year ago generated more than ...


August 1, 2015, 7:03 pm, 1520187
Not a single city with a population above 300,000, such as Philadelphia, reported that economic conditions had worsened over the last year and 23% said they had improved greatly.


July 31, 2015, 7:03 pm, 1519699
The first week of August brings important data readings that are sure to catch the notice of Federal Reserve officials.


July 31, 2015, 5:03 pm, 1519626
Not a single city with a population above 300,000, such as Philadelphia, reported that economic conditions had worsened over the last year and 23% said they had improved greatly.


July 31, 2015, 5:03 pm, 1519625
Of the 10 busiest U.S. markets for home construction, those that grew the fastest in this year’s first half from the same period a year ago generated more than ...


July 31, 2015, 5:03 pm, 1519624
The first week of August brings important data readings that are sure to catch the notice of Federal Reserve officials.