Economics Roundtable
Graph-of-the-Year Candidates
Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?
Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.
Finally, it's hard to argue against the payroll employment graph below (straight from FRED) and the comparison across recessions (courtesy of Calculated Risk).
Looking Up At 2001
In February 2001, U.S. payroll employment peaked at 132.5 million. The November 2011 figure of 131.7 million still falls 800,000 jobs short of the earlier peak.
Click on the chart for a larger version.
November Payroll Employment
Remember M1?
Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?
Click on the chart for a larger version.
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WRITING on the surprisingly strong January jobs report, my colleague says:
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OVER at Democracy in America, my colleague summarises a number of recent debates about "fiscal stimulus" in a way that usefully illustrates the...confused nature of the discussion. Fiscal policy has been an intensely political subject over the last few years, and that, I think, has made it very difficult ...
TODAY'S recommended economics writing:
• Recruiting intensity during and after the Great Recession (Steven Davis, R. Jason Faberman, John Haltiwanger)
• Why is unemployment duration so long? (Rob Valletta and Katherine Kuang)
• Nominal stability and financial globalization (Michael Devereux, Ozge Senay, and Alan Sutherland)
• The empirics of firm heterogeneity and international trade ...
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