Economics Roundtable

Database Maintenance 7/4/15

Routine database maintenance will induce some duplicated items for the next day or two.


May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


Click on the chart for a larger version.


EconModel

The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.


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WSJ:  Washington Wire

"Political Insight and Analysis From The Wall Street Journal’s Capital Bureau”


July 30, 2015, 8:44 pm, 1518937
It's the economy, again. After upticks in good economic feelings in recent months, surveys this week suggest Americans are growing increasingly edgy about the country’s economic future headed into the election season.


July 30, 2015, 10:44 am, 1518547
Two weeks into President Barack Obama's campaign to win backing for the Iran nuclear deal in Congress, it's increasingly clear his strategy is focused on gaining just enough Democratic support to sustain a presidential veto should lawmakers reject the agreement.


July 30, 2015, 10:44 am, 1518546
It's the economy, again. After upticks in good economic feelings in recent months, surveys this week suggest Americans are growing increasingly edgy about the country’s economic future headed into the election season.


July 30, 2015, 8:44 am, 1518462
Two weeks into President Barack Obama's campaign to win backing for the Iran nuclear deal in Congress, it's increasingly clear his strategy is focused on gaining just enough Democratic support to sustain a presidential veto should lawmakers reject the agreement.


July 28, 2015, 6:44 am, 1516773
Tuesday, the reformicons are launching part two of their attack on political orthodoxy, with the release of the first three of 19 new policy essays, which deal with higher education, the environment and entrepreneurship. ...


July 15, 2015, 10:44 pm, 1510016
Former New York Gov. George Pataki raised just $255,794 during the quarter ended June 30, according to a filing Wednesday with the Federal Election Commission


July 13, 2015, 4:44 pm, 1508418
Democratic presidential hopeful Hillary Clinton, laying out her economic vision, said Monday that government must do more to rein in excessive risk taking on Wall Street, push financial firms to focus on long-term growth over short-term gains and assure stock markets “work for everyday investors, not just high-frequency traders.” She ...


July 13, 2015, 2:44 pm, 1508334
Democratic presidential hopeful Hillary Clinton, laying out her economic vision, said Monday that government must do more to rein in excessive risk taking on Wall Street, push financial firms to focus on long-term growth over short-term gains and assure stock markets “work for everyday investors, not just high-frequency traders.” She ...


July 8, 2015, 2:44 am, 1505354
Robert Litan: Government has limited ability to influence the appetite for taking risks among entrepreneurs, investors, and larger companies. And without risk-taking, we are unlikely to see the kinds of major new innovations that will propel our economy toward a higher growth trajectory.


July 7, 2015, 4:44 pm, 1505142
Robert Litan: Government has limited ability to influence the appetite for taking risks among entrepreneurs, investors, and larger companies. And without risk-taking, we are unlikely to see the kinds of major new innovations that will propel our economy toward a higher growth trajectory.