Economics Roundtable

January 2014 Payroll Employment

We are getting closer to the previous peak.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


Click on the chart for a larger version.


EconModel

The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.


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WSJ:  Washington Wire

"Political Insight and Analysis From The Wall Street Journal’s Capital Bureau”


April 16, 2014, 12:44 pm, 1256438
One of the biggest questions hovering over the federal budget – and, indeed, over the U.S. economy – is whether the recent slowdown in the pace of health-care spending growth will persist. Experts disagree. Here's a taste of the debate.


April 16, 2014, 10:45 am, 1256347
One of the biggest questions hovering over the federal budget – and, indeed, over the U.S. economy – is whether the recent slowdown in the pace of health-care spending growth will persist. Experts disagree. Here's a taste of the debate.


April 11, 2014, 4:44 pm, 1254486
Events in Washington this week suggest that the big political economic debate of 2014, a midterm election year, is going to be between Democrats pushing income equality, on the one hand, and Republicans talking about job creation on the other.


April 11, 2014, 12:44 pm, 1254310
Events in Washington this week suggest that the big political economic debate of 2014, a midterm election year, is going to be between Democrats pushing income equality, on the one hand, and Republicans talking about job creation on the other.


April 9, 2014, 6:44 pm, 1253307
Finance ministers and central bankers from around the world descend on Washington this week, as they do every year at this time for the spring meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank. Here's a quick guide to what's likely to be the buzz in the corridor:


April 9, 2014, 10:44 am, 1252953
Finance ministers and central bankers from around the world descend on Washington this week, as they do every year at this time for the spring meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank. Here's a quick guide to what's likely to be the buzz in the corridor:


April 8, 2014, 2:44 pm, 1252499
President Barack Obama on Tuesday said the salary gap between men and women is unfair and needs to be remedied. Here are the president's remarks:


April 8, 2014, 10:44 am, 1252341
One of the biggest political and policy questions in Washington this year has been the minimum wage and whether it's going to be raised. The real question is, is there a middle ground between the two parties on this very contentious issue. We're about to find out because the Senate ...


April 8, 2014, 8:44 am, 1252262
The White House has spent several months pushing to raise the minimum wage, and their efforts are starting to bear modest fruit on the state level, with Connecticut and now Maryland passing laws to raise their minimum wages over time to $10.10 an hour.


April 7, 2014, 8:44 am, 1251741
The Journal's morning rundown of the biggest news stories and exclusive features from Washington on the 2016 race, legalization of pot, and more.