Economics Roundtable

May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


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Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


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EconModel

The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.


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WSJ:  Washington Wire

"Political Insight and Analysis From The Wall Street Journal’s Capital Bureau”


October 1, 2014, 12:44 pm, 1344465
Looked at one way, economic ties between the U.S. and India have expanded greatly. But huge opportunities remain on both sides.


October 1, 2014, 8:45 am, 1344292
Looked at one way, economic ties between the U.S. and India have expanded greatly. But huge opportunities remain on both sides.


September 29, 2014, 6:45 am, 1342794
The economy is picking up steam, but it's not happening in enough of the right places for candidates who are trying to defend their turfs heading into the November elections. WSJ's Sudeep Reddy explains why weak wage growth means many Americans aren't feeling the benefits of upticks in GDP and ...


September 25, 2014, 10:45 pm, 1341564
News that Attorney General Eric Holder is planning to resign evoked disappointment among Democratic lawmakers and cheers from Republicans, whose relationship with Mr. Holder has been fraught with tensions over his six-year tenure.


September 25, 2014, 2:44 pm, 1341317
News that Attorney General Eric Holder is planning to resign evoked disappointment among Democratic lawmakers and cheers from Republicans, whose relationship with Mr. Holder has been fraught with tensions over his six-year tenure.


September 20, 2014, 2:44 pm, 1338493
Here are state unemployment rate trends for closely-contested state governor and U.S. Senate races.


September 19, 2014, 2:44 pm, 1338085
Senators who voted no Thursday on training and equipping Syrian rebels in the fight against Islamic State extremists had individual reasons for their vote, but some broad themes emerged.


September 19, 2014, 2:44 pm, 1338084
Here are state unemployment rate trends for closely-contested state governor and U.S. Senate races.


September 19, 2014, 12:44 pm, 1338008
Senators who voted no Thursday on training and equipping Syrian rebels in the fight against Islamic State extremists had individual reasons for their vote, but some broad themes emerged.


September 19, 2014, 12:44 pm, 1338007
Here are state unemployment rate trends for closely-contested state governor and U.S. Senate races.