Economics Roundtable

Technical Problems 1/21/15

The website was down for a day and a half, but is back up now.


May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


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Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


Click on the chart for a larger version.


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Credit Slips

"A Discussion on Credit and Bankruptcy”


January 26, 2015, 8:44 am, 1409845

It may surprise some, but approximately 90% of all chapter 11 debtors have less than $10 million in assets or liabilities, ...


January 23, 2015, 10:44 pm, 1409139

As Germany vs. Greece, and Germany vs. the EU Southern and Western edges, heats up yet again, some important historical context, over at Spiegel.


January 23, 2015, 8:44 am, 1408658

The general counsel of a financially distressed company calls you.  She of course clearly states that her company does not need ...


January 22, 2015, 8:44 am, 1407933

In his State of the Union speech on Tuesday, President Obama talked a ...


January 21, 2015, 4:44 pm, 1407506

We want to thank Professor Matthew Bruckner of Howard University for hanging out at Credit Slips for a while. We appreciate him sharing his thoughts on some of the finance issues facing legal education and issues surrounding student debt.


January 21, 2015, 4:44 pm, 1407505

Culminating a two-year appeals process, the United States Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit just ruled ...


January 21, 2015, 10:22 am, 1407329

In the past two months, four retailers have filed bankruptcy cases.


January 21, 2015, 10:22 am, 1407330

Last week at the Brookings Institution, Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (“CFPB”) Director Richard Cordray described his greatest challenge as CFPB director as ...


January 20, 2015, 12:44 pm, 1407289

In preparation for some upcoming projects with sociologists, including my new collaborator Rob Mayer (Utah) and on another project, Alan Burton (UNM Sociology professors and UNM law student), I am beefing up on my sociology research. Alan directed me to a recent article, Restructuring the ...


January 20, 2015, 12:44 pm, 1407288

Those fascinated by the logic and limits of the Bankruptcy Clause, Article III courts, and bankruptcy courts power will want to check out the most recent issue of the Amercan Bankruptcy Law Journal (vol. 88, no. 4):

Kurt F. Gurynne, "Pandora's Box and Peace on the Darkling Plain: ...