Economics Roundtable

May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.

Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?

Click on the chart for a larger version.


The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

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Credit Slips

"A Discussion on Credit and Bankruptcy”

August 31, 2015, 6:44 pm, 1536939

This ruling, handed down today by the Second Circuit, may spell the end of ...

August 26, 2015, 4:44 pm, 1534640

Some thoughts on the latest dustup over venue in big chapter 11 cases, on Dealb%k.

August 26, 2015, 4:44 pm, 1534639

My blogging has been light the past few months as we have been working on the eighth edition of what will now be LoPucki, Warren & Lawless, Secured Transactions: A Systems Approach. For you secured transactions teachers out there, we have returned a first set of page proofs ...

August 22, 2015, 10:44 am, 1532635

Puerto Rico is asking the U.S. Supreme Court to review the First Circuit decision that Puerto Rico's Recovery ...

August 19, 2015, 2:44 pm, 1531065

This summer saw a flurry of legislative activity in Europe with respect to personal bankruptcy. New laws emerged in Cyprus, Romania, Hungary, and (though it is not an EU Member State) Russia. These laws differ substantially among each other and ...

August 18, 2015, 2:44 pm, 1530398

I've got an op-ed in the American Banker about the CFPB's data collection, which has become the latest inside-the-Beltway attack on the CFPB.  

The problem is that the CFPB's data collection critics (and here and here and here, among ...

August 15, 2015, 12:44 am, 1528944

Nice piece in Time Magazine on the CFPB here

August 13, 2015, 10:44 am, 1527795

Much has been going on, although little has actually happened, in the litigation against Argentina. For instance, the court has allowed the plaintiffs to file an amended complaint seeking an injunction blocking payments on the recently-issued BONAR 2024s (USD-denominated, Argentine law bonds). That ...

August 12, 2015, 6:44 pm, 1527405

I've finally finished my paper on the new Russian personal bankruptcy law (comments welcome), which is slated to go into effect ...

August 11, 2015, 10:44 am, 1526412

What's in a name? A lot of heartache, potentially, as Johnny Cash explained in A Boy Named Sue.

The consumer finance industry is awash in labels for lending. Despite the lack of data, and clear analysis, that left certain people (apparently nearly all of ...