Economics Roundtable

Technical Problems 3/9/15

The website was down several hours today, but is back up now.

May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.

Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?

Click on the chart for a larger version.


The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.

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Undercover Economist (Tim Harford)

March 27, 2015, 1:23 pm, 1446567
‘The lesson of all this is that the economy is complicated and textbook economic logic alone will get us only so far’

March 20, 2015, 1:23 pm, 1442841
‘Diamonds are costly because we desire them. But what if that isn’t true? What if they are desirable because they are costly?’

March 13, 2015, 11:23 am, 1438921
‘The Luddite anxiety has been dormant for many years but has recently enjoyed a resurgence’

March 6, 2015, 11:23 am, 1434860
Bitcoin appeals to libertarians on the basis that governments cannot arbitrarily make more of it

February 27, 2015, 1:23 pm, 1430553
The fact that a few large players have such influence over vital services should make us all queasy

February 20, 2015, 11:23 am, 1426105
We don’t have a good sense of our own fallibility. Checking my answers, it was the one I felt the most certain of that I got wrong

February 13, 2015, 9:23 am, 1422016
‘Whether the computer reckons you’re a love match or not isn’t something that anyone should take seriously’

February 6, 2015, 11:23 am, 1417768
‘If Starbucks opens a café just round the corner from another Starbucks, is that really about selling more coffee?’

January 30, 2015, 7:23 am, 1413105
‘The cure for “bad statistics” isn’t “no statistics” — it’s using statistical tools properly’

January 23, 2015, 11:23 am, 1408801
‘The idea that we can somehow measure “the thing that matters most” is quite absurd’