Economics Roundtable

NOTICE 9/30/177

The Economics Roundtable website has been up and running for a couple of days now. Further periods of testing will be necessary. The RSS feed is still not working. The left sidebar links are also probably not updating correctly.

The problems were caused by updates to the programming language php and to the Apache operating system. It is taking time to track down the problems this causes with my system. - Bill Parke

March 2017 Fed Funds Rate

What is the effect of a 0.25% change in the Fed Funds rate?.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


March 2017 Payroll Employment

Payroll employment has not grown impressively since 2000. Some baby-boomers retired, but that does not totally account for this graph.

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May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


Click on the chart for a larger version.


EconModel

The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.


RSS Feed

Undercover Economist (Tim Harford)


September 12, 2017, 1:15 pm, 1772639
On any piece of policy, the typical voter does not understand what is at stake


September 12, 2017, 1:15 pm, 1772640
‘Can a society really want anything coherent? Arrow’s impossibility theorem drives a stake through the very idea’


September 12, 2017, 1:15 pm, 1772641
‘This feels like an important moment. Fake news is not prevalent, but it could become so’


September 12, 2017, 1:15 pm, 1772642
‘The simplest economies tend to be the most unequal; the more sophisticated ones are more equal’


September 12, 2017, 1:15 pm, 1772638
In the hunt for productivity, the revolutionary long shot is worth the cost and risk


September 12, 2017, 1:15 pm, 1772637
There is certainly a deal to be done, but wishful thinking will not deliver it


September 12, 2017, 1:15 pm, 1772634
Statistical quirks mean outstanding performances tend to be shortlived


September 12, 2017, 1:15 pm, 1772635
Ironically workers move jobs and home less frequently than before


September 12, 2017, 1:15 pm, 1772636
If we imagine restrictive migration policies apply to our lives, we see their flaws


September 12, 2017, 1:15 pm, 1772633
We Brits scoff at the French work ethic, but they get more done in less time