Economics Roundtable

March 2017 Fed Funds Rate

What is the effect of a 0.25% change in the Fed Funds rate?.

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March 2017 Payroll Employment

Payroll employment has not grown impressively since 2000. Some baby-boomers retired, but that does not totally account for this graph.

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May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .

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Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.

Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?

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The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.

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Undercover Economist (Tim Harford)

March 24, 2017, 3:23 am, 1731399
In the hunt for productivity, the revolutionary long shot is worth the cost and risk

March 17, 2017, 9:23 am, 1729561
On any piece of policy, the typical voter does not understand what is at stake

March 8, 2017, 1:23 am, 1726630
‘Can a society really want anything coherent? Arrow’s impossibility theorem drives a stake through the very idea’

March 1, 2017, 1:23 am, 1724496
‘This feels like an important moment. Fake news is not prevalent, but it could become so’

February 22, 2017, 1:23 am, 1722065
‘The simplest economies tend to be the most unequal; the more sophisticated ones are more equal’

February 15, 2017, 1:23 am, 1719967
‘In the case of VW, transparency was the enemy: regulators should have been vaguer about the emissions test to prevent cheating’

February 8, 2017, 1:23 am, 1717712
‘If I’m cruising along in a complacent bubble, I badly need someone to explain what I’m doing wrong’

February 1, 2017, 1:23 am, 1715527
‘Trade’s winners may take their good fortune for granted while the losers are acutely aware of what they’ve lost’

January 25, 2017, 1:23 am, 1713323
‘What if, as you hurl your own steering wheel out of the window, you notice your rival has done exactly the same?’

January 18, 2017, 1:23 am, 1711392
‘After the system has been installed, both plumber and economist must tinker with it as leaks and blockages become apparent’