Economics Roundtable

NOTICE 9/30/177

The Economics Roundtable website has been up and running for a couple of days now. Further periods of testing will be necessary. The RSS feed is still not working. The left sidebar links are also probably not updating correctly.

The problems were caused by updates to the programming language php and to the Apache operating system. It is taking time to track down the problems this causes with my system. - Bill Parke

March 2017 Fed Funds Rate

What is the effect of a 0.25% change in the Fed Funds rate?.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

March 2017 Payroll Employment

Payroll employment has not grown impressively since 2000. Some baby-boomers retired, but that does not totally account for this graph.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.

Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?

Click on the chart for a larger version.


The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.

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Budget Blog

"real-time analysis and commentary on the federal budget”

A project of the Center for American Progress

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1771672

Statement of Senate Budget Committee Chairman Kent Conrad…

Senate Budget Committee 

“The Senate Budget Committee will hold a hearing next Thursday on the President’s nomination of Jim Nussle to be Director of the Office of Management and Budget. This hearing will provide Mr. Nussle with an opportunity to address Members ...

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1771673

OMB released updated budget projections yesterday. The 2007 deficit was revised down to $205 billion from a previously estimated $244 billion, but the deficit in 2008 is set to increase to over $250 billion.

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1771674

2007 TNT 132-1 - News Stories (Copyright, 2007, Tax Analysts)
The Office of Management and Budget is also due to release its midsession review July 11

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1771675

Stan Collender on Bush’s budget process complaint…

BUDGET BATTLES: Chutzpah, Y’All (07/10/2007) - sub req

In his weekly radio address this past Saturday, the president criticized Congress for not being on schedule with the FY08 appropriations. He also said that Congress was unlikely to send him any appropriations for the ...

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1771671

Just released today…

Committee on Ways & Means 

The Ways and Means Committee today passed H.R. 3056, the Tax Collection Responsibility Act of 2007, to repeal the use of private debt collection companies to collect Federal income taxes, delay the application of an onerous three percent withholding requirement on businesses, and ...

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1771670

A new column by Scott Lilly of the Center for American Progress…

Breakfast at the White House
Congressional leaders will start the month of August with a breakfast meeting with President Bush and his top advisors. The meeting is a response to a joint request by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi ...

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1771667

New column by CAP Senior Fellow Scott Lilly…

Engineering a Train Wreck
An old Yiddish folktale describes a young man who murders both of his parents and when brought to trial throws himself on the mercy of the court because he was an orphan. The story is intended to explain ...

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1771668

A new column from CAP senior fellow Scott Lilly…

The Case Against Nussle’s Confirmation
When the Senate returns from the August break next week they are expected to take up the confirmation of former Congressman Jim Nussle as Director of the Office of Management. Many students of American government argue ...

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1771669

From today’s Washington Post…

Bush Wants $50 Billion More for Iraq War -

President Bush plans to ask Congress next month for up to $50 billion in additional funding for the war in Iraq, a White House official said yesterday, a move that appears to reflect increasing administration confidence that it can ...

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1771666

CAP Senior Fellow Ruy Teixeira on public opinion of the budget…

Public Opinion Snapshot: Which Side Are You On? The Battle of the Budget
Congress is in the middle of a battle over the budget. On one side are those who want the budget to include higher appropriations for programs ...