Economics Roundtable

May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.

Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?

Click on the chart for a larger version.


The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.

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Beat the Press (Dean Baker)

"Dean Baker’s commentary on economic reporting”

February 5, 2016, 9:23 am, 1605693

This article appears in the Winter 2016 issue of The American Prospect magazine. Subscribe here.

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AP Photo/Mark Lennihan, File

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(Photo: AP/Chris Carlson)

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Abir Sultan, Pool Photo via AP, File

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(Photo: AP/Manuel Valdes)

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AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall

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AP Photo/Ryan J. Foley

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February 2, 2016, 9:23 am, 1604461
(Photo: AP/Andrew Harnik)

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton, accompanied by former President Bill Clinton and their daughter Chelsea Clinton, arrives at ...