Economics Roundtable

Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.

Finally, it's hard to argue against the payroll employment graph below (straight from FRED) and the comparison across recessions (courtesy of Calculated Risk).


Looking Up At 2001

In February 2001, U.S. payroll employment peaked at 132.5 million. The November 2011 figure of 131.7 million still falls 800,000 jobs short of the earlier peak.


Click on the chart for a larger version.


November Payroll Employment


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


Click on the chart for a larger version.


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Beat the Press (Dean Baker)

"Dean Baker’s commentary on economic reporting”


February 4, 2012, 7:23 pm, 948267

President Obama is the most moderate Democratic president since the end of World War II, while President George W. Bush was the most conservative president in the post-war era.

For more, see Keith Poole’s post at Voteview.


February 3, 2012, 9:23 pm, 948208

Each Friday—well at least most Fridays—I'm going to sum up the big news happening in states around the country. To make it more interesting I'm naming a State of the Week where the biggest news came from. See something that's missing? Tell ...


February 3, 2012, 5:23 pm, 948186

It's just the first 40 seconds of the video. Check it: 


February 3, 2012, 5:23 pm, 948185

Here's the statement that Komen for the Cure has released explaining its new position. I've bolded some parts:

We want to apologize to the American public for recent decisions that cast doubt upon our commitment to our mission of saving women's lives.

The ...


February 3, 2012, 3:23 pm, 948164

Likely not, according to Nils Petter Gledditsch, in the introduction to a special issue of the Journal of Peace Research on this topic. Research to date shows little evidence for systematic relationship between increased global warming, water shortages, etc., and ...


February 3, 2012, 3:23 pm, 948163

The next stop on the national humiliate Newt Gingrich tour lands in Nevada tomorrow when, if recent polls have even an ounce of truth, Mitt Romney will trounce the competition. Every survey this week has Romney up by staggeringly wide margins. Public ...


February 3, 2012, 3:23 pm, 948162

 

It’s silly to pretend that those of us writing about the GOP nomination race don’t have a vested interest in a drama without end. This is to say that we have no interest in the resolution that the whole of the Republican ...


February 3, 2012, 1:23 pm, 948138

The Bureau of Labor Statistics released January's jobs numbers this morning, and the economy added 243,000 jobs last month. Unemployment dropped from 8.5 percent to 8.3 percent—the lowest the rate has been in nearly three years. Forecasts had predicted that ...


February 3, 2012, 11:23 am, 948103

Earlier this morning, Nate Silver argued that 150,000 was President Obama’s “magic number” for job growth, in part, because 150,000 is the dividing line between a bad report—where the economy isn’t growing fast enough to keep up with population—and a decent ...


February 3, 2012, 11:23 am, 948101

It isn't easy getting a bead on what motivates Mitt Romney. He's always polished and prepped, his square jaw firmly in place and every word carefully planned and delivered as though it were part of a 57-slide PowerPoint presentation. He married his ...