Economics Roundtable

May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


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Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


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EconModel

The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.


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Poverty & Growth Blog

"Building Capacity to Reduce Poverty”


July 2, 2014, 11:33 pm, 1295927

Do you remember The Bottom Billion, Paul Collier’s 2007 book which became a classic? If you do, you will certainly like his latest work, The Plundered Planet. He came to launch his new book to the Bank this week, and ...


July 2, 2014, 11:33 pm, 1295930

The global financial and economic crisis of 2008 has brought an urgency to focus on shorter-term policy issues related to managing bubbles, analyzing current development paradigms, and drawing out policy lessons for future action, particularly lessons learned during the past two years. At the ...


July 2, 2014, 11:33 pm, 1295931

by Rebekka E. Grun

Why save the banks, and not their clients?

The current financial crisis is not the first for economists or central bankers. What was relatively new though is that many proven tools do not seem to work. Monetary impulses, liquidity – for a long ...


July 2, 2014, 11:33 pm, 1295929

Keynes is best known for suggesting fiscal stimulus policies and programs to increase aggregate demand to get out of a deep recession. Since the marginal propensity to consume is positive and less than one; the bigger it is, the larger the fiscal multipliers will ...


July 2, 2014, 11:33 pm, 1295928

by Ejaz Ghani

China and India are both racing ahead economically. But the manner in which they are growing is dramatically different. Whereas China is a formidable exporter of manufactured goods, India has acquired a global reputation for exporting modern services. Indeed, India has ...


July 2, 2014, 11:33 pm, 1295905

The labor market has the unenviable task of not only absorbing the additional workers entering the labor force each year (as a result of population growth) but also dealing with the unemployed workers as economies. The Keynesian view of unemployment is ...


July 2, 2014, 11:33 pm, 1295906

July 2, 2014, 11:33 pm, 1295903

The traditional micro-prudential regulations of bank-by-bank audit and supervision proved inadequate during the recent global financial crisis. There is now a new thinking on (i) how to reform the global financial system and how to reduce the vulnerability of the ...


July 2, 2014, 11:33 pm, 1295902

July 2, 2014, 11:33 pm, 1295904