Economics Roundtable

NOTICE 9/30/177

The Economics Roundtable website has been up and running for a couple of days now. Further periods of testing will be necessary. The RSS feed is still not working. The left sidebar links are also probably not updating correctly.

The problems were caused by updates to the programming language php and to the Apache operating system. It is taking time to track down the problems this causes with my system. - Bill Parke

March 2017 Fed Funds Rate

What is the effect of a 0.25% change in the Fed Funds rate?.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

March 2017 Payroll Employment

Payroll employment has not grown impressively since 2000. Some baby-boomers retired, but that does not totally account for this graph.

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May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.

Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?

Click on the chart for a larger version.


The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.

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Ecological Economics

"A Cross-Disciplinary Conversation”

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1772053

Via Brad DeLong who says, "This is, I think, very good work--and the worst news about the human future I have learned in months." :

Forecasting the Path of China's CO2 Emissions Using Province Level Information, Maximilian Auffhammer and Richard T. Carson (2008)

ABSTRACT: Our results ...

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1772054

Tired of being told to "go shopping" whenever a national or international crisis occurs?

Tired of hearing that "recycling" will save us?
  Note: Recycling is a very good idea, just "not enough."

Want to know how our so-called Consumer Society was manufactured?

Want to know why the linear "produce, manufacture, CONSUME" model is ...

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1772055

Can you envision a country that plans to rid itself of both Coal and Nuclear Energy source-dependence? Germany is on track to do so:

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1772056

Today, the Global Forest Coalition and the Global Justice Ecology Project strongly condemn—on both human rights and environmental accounts—recent carbon trade announcements/resolutions at the UN Bali Glogal Climate Change Conference. "They are going to use the failed model of carbon trading to supposedly protect forests, but just like agrofuels, the ...

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1772052

Until a few days ago I had no idea that people were playing with the idea of using compressed air to power vehicles. Now it looks like we may see some within the next few years. Add in a hybrid gas engine to compress more air and compressed ...

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1772051

On mainstream news this morning I heard our Utah Governor declare US gas prices "outrageous". Memorial Day national news coverage labeled them "sky high." Wrong! Gas prices only seem outrageous to we Americans who George W. Bush correctly noted are "addicted to oil".

Europeans, by contrast, have lived ...

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1772048

I've been thinking about changing the name of this blog for quite a while. I never intended to steal the trademark name "Ecological Economics" from its rightful owners. Instead, my hope was that I might draw a few key players from that arena into the blogosphere to add ...

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1772049

Over at Mother Jones, Kevin Drum declares Cap and Trade dead as a doornail. Drum adds that "we're not going to get a lovely and elegant carbon tax in its place. For now, carbon pricing is dead."

To better understand why this is not such a ...

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1772050

It is nice to see that Willem Buiter shares my skepticism about Cap and Trade Carbon schemes relative to Carbon Taxes. It is nice because his London School of Economics credentials eclipse mine, and those are just the beginning of why he is held in high esteem in both ...

September 12, 2017, 1:14 pm, 1772047

Jeffery Sachs nails the essence of our American grown policy problem: Never a thoughtful discussion, always a bunch of talk show hosts (some masquerading as news outlets) batting around trivia. Even when so-called experts are called in, there is seldom a thoughtful vetting of who ought to be in the ...