Economics Roundtable

May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .

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Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.

Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?

Click on the chart for a larger version.


The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.

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Environmental Economics

"Economists on Environmental and Natural Resources: News, Opinion, and Analysis”

February 12, 2016, 5:33 pm, 1608250

This paper aims to identify the causal effect of smoking on body mass index (BMI) using data from the Lung Health Study, a randomized trial of smoking cessation treatments. Since nicotine is a metabolic stimulant and appetite suppressant, quitting or reducing smoking could lead to weight gain. Using randomized treatment ...

February 12, 2016, 11:33 am, 1608106

Shannon Wulf Tregar:

The US Environmental Protection Agency’s Clean Power Plan suffered a setback this week as the Supreme Court blocked the agency from requiring states to submit compliance plans until the program is reviewed by a lower court. Beyond the Clean Power Plan, and given polarized opinions on various regulatory ...

February 12, 2016, 9:33 am, 1608064

February 12, 2016, 9:33 am, 1608063

February 11, 2016, 9:33 pm, 1607884

February 11, 2016, 5:33 pm, 1607811

Sad note: Dubious and Dubiouser is not even mentioned at the end!

February 11, 2016, 3:33 pm, 1607765

The February NBER Digest summarizes a July, 2015 NBER working paper that takes another look at the EPA's Sulfur Dioxide Cap and Trade Program (Acid Rain Program) and finds good news and bad news.  The good news, there were significant cost savings from the Acid Rain Program.  Economists Rejoice.  ...

February 11, 2016, 1:33 pm, 1607717

Gravity exists!

OK, we kinda knew that, but gravity waves exist! 

Just like Einstein predicted. 

Science is cool.



February 11, 2016, 11:33 am, 1607663
RFF on the issues:

On Tuesday, the US Supreme Court granted a stay blocking the Environmental Protection Agency from requiring states to submit plans for major reductions in carbon emissions from electric power plants. The stay marks a setback for President Obama’s Clean Power Plan, which aims to reduce carbon ...

February 10, 2016, 9:33 am, 1607199

Congress has said this is dead on arrival and won't even talk with the White House budget director about it but hey, there is some good economics in here and that should be applauded:

President Obama is proposing significant funding increases to environmental regulators and clean energy research as part of his ...