Economics Roundtable

NOTICE 4/30/18

The Economics Roundtable is back. The technical problem that has limited the set of blogs has been resolved. The RSS feed is, however, still not working.

Flushing caches will likely cause some old posts to show up for a day or two.

Employment as a Percentage of Population

The graph below shows employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

March 2017 Payroll Employment

Payroll employment has not grown impressively since 2000. Some baby-boomers retired, but that does not totally account for this graph.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.

RSS Feed

EconBrowser (James Hamilton)

"Analysis of current economic conditions and policy”

October 20, 2018, 1:25 am, 1909556

Today, we are pleased to present a guest contribution written by Enrique Martínez-García (Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas), based on his forthcoming article in Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics. The views expressed here are those solely of the author and do not reflect those of the Federal Reserve ...

October 19, 2018, 1:05 pm, 1909389

Today, we present a guest post written by Jeffrey Frankel, Harpel Professor at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, and formerly a member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers.

Headlines today note a further slowdown in China’s growth. Newly announced GDP data give a preliminary ...

October 19, 2018, 3:45 am, 1909184

Q/q Chinese growth in 2018Q3 is estimated at 1.6% (not annualized), after downwardly revised 1.7% rate in Q2. Y/y growth was 6.5%. [1] [2]

Source: TradingEconomics.

There are two ...

October 18, 2018, 6:36 pm, 1909053

Figure 1: US private nonfarm payroll employment (dark blue), and Wisconsin (red), both in logs, normalized to 2017M01. Source: BLS, DWD, author’s calculations.

October 18, 2018, 2:06 pm, 1908936

August total NFP and private NFP also revised downward.

Figure 1: Wisconsin nonfarm payroll employment, from August release (blue), and September release (red), 000’s, s.a., on log ...

October 18, 2018, 1:05 am, 1908669

Today, we are pleased to present a guest contribution written by Vincent Grossmann-Wirth and Clément Marsilli (Banque de France) summarizing their chapter in the book International Macroeconomics in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis edited by L. Ferrara, I. Hernando and D. Marconi. The views expressed ...

October 16, 2018, 5:45 pm, 1908251

So sayeth Donald Trump today. From FoxBusiness:

“My biggest threat is the Fed,” Trump said on Tuesday during an interview with FOX Business’ Trish Regan. “Because the Fed is raising rates too fast, and it’s too independent,” he complained.

To recap, the Fed’s increase in interest rates is by ...

October 15, 2018, 6:36 pm, 1907718

On Wednesday, October 17.

Wednesday, October 17, 2018, 12:00PM – 2:00PM
Location: Grainger Hall, 975 University Avenue, Plenary Room
Asoka Mody, visiting professor in international economic policy at Princeton University, will discuss ...

October 15, 2018, 12:06 pm, 1907590

That’s the topic of a piece I put up at VoxEU, which draws on my comments at a recent conference at the Brookings Institution.

October 14, 2018, 12:36 pm, 1907328

That’s from WaPo. In 2017, the US exported 1.2 billion bushels to China: North Dakota’s orphan soybeans today are nearly 1/5 of total sales to China in 2017…

“Lots of guys will be scrambling,” said Joe Ericson, a grower who operates a 5,000-acre farm near Wimbledon. “It’s going ...