Economics Roundtable

NOTICE 4/30/18

The Economics Roundtable is back. The technical problem that has limited the set of blogs has been resolved. The RSS feed is, however, still not working.

Flushing caches will likely cause some old posts to show up for a day or two.

Employment as a Percentage of Population

The graph below shows employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

March 2017 Payroll Employment

Payroll employment has not grown impressively since 2000. Some baby-boomers retired, but that does not totally account for this graph.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.

RSS Feed

EconBrowser (James Hamilton)

"Analysis of current economic conditions and policy”

June 19, 2018, 1:24 pm, 1868819

One of the key difficulties in measuring effects and attributing causality is the fact that there are typically many confounding factors. That is why social scientists (and financial economists) often resort to event analyses — looking at what happens around a certain event (like an announcement) when little else is ...

June 19, 2018, 1:45 am, 1868596

One irrelevant graph and one (possibly) relevant graph, in light of Mr. Trump’s statement on additional trade sanctions.

First, the irrelevant: the US-China trade deficit, which has been deteriorating over the first five quarters of the Trump administration.

June 18, 2018, 8:05 pm, 1868577

That’s part headline from CNBC.

President Donald Trump has requested the United States Trade Representative to identify $200 billion worth of Chinese goods for additional tariffs at a rate of 10 percent.

The new duties will go into effect “if China refuses to change its practices, and also if it insists ...

June 18, 2018, 12:35 pm, 1868443

Historian Michael Beschloss just posted this picture, from 64 years ago today.

“Japanese American internment camp near Jerome, Arkansas, today 1944” Source.

June 18, 2018, 2:05 am, 1868262

Figure 1: Soybean prices, daily, $/bushel (dark blue). Source: MacroTrends, accessed 6/16/2018.

In examining the free-fall in soybean prices, reader CoRev argues for ag conditions and the ...

June 17, 2018, 3:24 am, 1868124

Today, we present a guest post written by Jeffrey Frankel, Harpel Professor at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, and formerly a member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers. A shorter version appeared in Project Syndicate.

Critics of President Trump’s aggressive trade policy have ...

June 16, 2018, 7:05 pm, 1868116

A 2-year-old Honduran girl cries as her mother is searched near the U.S.-Mexico border in McAllen, Tex., after they rafted across the Rio Grande. (John Moore/Getty Images) via WaPo.

In America, have ...

June 16, 2018, 3:24 pm, 1868107

June 16, 2018, 3:24 pm, 1868106

June 15, 2018, 10:35 pm, 1868023

Reader Ed Hanson asks if it makes a difference to look at front month or back month futures in discerning the impact of news on soybean prices. The answer is no.

Below, I present graphs of soybean futures over the past year for contracts expiring in July, August, September, November, ...