The Problem - I
Calculated Risk has the clearest picture of
the problem we face.
Click on the chart for a larger version.
The Problem - II
Calculated Risk adds the the clearest picture of
the housing tailspin.
Click on the chart for a larger version.
Special Topic 8/4/10
This week, the Roundtable will feature a special listing for reaction to the
payroll employment figures
from ADP on Wednesday and the BLS on Friday.
ADP: +42,000
BLS:  -131,000/+71,000
Click on the chart for a larger version.
Special Topics 6/28/10
This week, the Roundtable will feature special listings for reaction to Wednesday's
CBO budget projections and the
payroll employment figures
from ADP on Wednesday and the BLS on Friday.
ADP: +13,000
BLS:  -125,000/+83,000
CBO: Take your pick.
Click on the chart for a larger version.
Current Economic Conditions 6/5/10
James Hamilton summarizes the situation.
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Lawrance G. Lux
"This Blog will basically discuss economic issues, with some history and political events thrown in. The author is a mix of Conservative and Liberal impulses, with matching Authoritarian and Libertarian trends.”
September 8, 2010, 3:04 pm, 761792
Here is
the type of economic policy I dislike, simply because it is futile. I will present a vastly different strategy, and one which I am sure everyone will disagree with, until some economists begin to study the ramifications of the issue. This is reaching back way into the ...
September 5, 2010, 9:04 pm, 760421
I read
this Piece, and think the Kids must understand more about the method of Taxation in this Country. We have a Step-system of Taxation, which means that people are charged only what others are charged in taxation until they reach the new Step rate. I do not know ...
September 4, 2010, 1:04 pm, 760103
Everyone dealing with the area of finance should be able to understand
this Post; if one does not, they need serious help. I am against naked credit default swaps simply because any spread of Risk beyond the initial Players can only threaten the greater economy. CDS in no way ...
September 3, 2010, 1:04 pm, 759848
The Internet is full of Posts dealing with the Jobs Reports. It is the old ‘glass half full, half empty" paradigm, where going nowhere seems rosy to Some, bad to Others. The Business world needs about 5 Weeks to get most occupational New Hires up to competitive production. It is ...
September 2, 2010, 3:04 pm, 759247
Here is
a Question which every would-be analyst of markets must ask. Can a math model be compiled which will match market performance with sufficient statistical accuracy to provide fully adaptive investment policy? We have a random order market with individual elements acting in independent manner, only united in ...
September 1, 2010, 5:04 pm, 758651
I feel for Paul Krugman,
though I do not think he is right. He states that he felt that the magnitude of the Stimulus was not large enough, while I suggest Stimulus would never have worked no matter it’s size. He would, like a Gambler, double down and go ...
August 30, 2010, 7:04 pm, 757397
Read
this, then
this, and finish with
this. I find a recalcitrant impulse to abandon the entire genuine efforts of honest people, and recount How I was Right; people would just nod their heads upon any Statement I made to being wrong. So I will advance ...
August 28, 2010, 3:04 pm, 756498
I dislike to disagree with James Hamilton, as he is an economist I truly prize. The idea, though, that
current conditions are the best We can expect seems downright wasteful of both Labor and Capital. Congress needs to stop giving Business Tax Cuts which they utilize to no one’s ...
August 25, 2010, 5:04 pm, 755011
This
may be the most rationale argument for current Fed policy which I have read, but I disagree with it in total. My position flies in the face of decades of Keynesian analysis, and I should give some Answer which is not simply denial. I have been trying to ...
August 24, 2010, 5:04 pm, 754351
I do believe Scott Adams. I still believe, though, that there are ways to alter the behavior in a significant manner. My first attempt to suggest people to change their lifestyle would consist of a Landscape law. It is a nice sensible thing which will make everyone scream. I will ...