Economics Roundtable

January 2014 Payroll Employment

We are getting closer to the previous peak.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


Click on the chart for a larger version.


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Lawrance G. Lux

"This Blog will basically discuss economic issues, with some history and political events thrown in. The author is a mix of Conservative and Liberal impulses, with matching Authoritarian and Libertarian trends.”


February 11, 2014, 5:03 pm, 1221496
This article presents me with the pressure to bring a response to the fore. I will state first that federal economic policy makers do not understand Inflation as well as they should. Their first failure comes in the ignorance of the impact of Inflation by sector. Where is all ...


February 11, 2014, 5:03 pm, 1221497
I disagree with Mike Shedlock on this one. What seems like a good idea remains fraught with peril. A major rationale for spreading Taxes out over a wide base establishes that tax-paying cannot be gamed. Evasion of one type of taxation leads to deeper tax impact from other types ...


February 11, 2014, 5:03 pm, 1221498
I fear that Greg Mankiw does not know the condition of the human soul. His Presidential Address to the nation will never be delivered. No Generation will ever accept the debt servitude of a previous Generation. The United States will default on its accumulated debt, the Question being only ...


February 11, 2014, 5:03 pm, 1221499
I have decided to go totally off the Reservation today, and delve where no man was meant to go; this into the area of Bonuses, Pensions, Stock awards, and medical coverage. There stands so much hassle about Bonus systems and health care coverage that the system seems to be broken, ...


February 11, 2014, 5:03 pm, 1221495
I began reading this Piece, and started to feel disquiet, then I reached the part where Megan should have more forcibly retracted her own statements because of the follow-up information. The bright Knight is slightly tarnished armor in me decided I needed to ride my trusty stead, almost as ...


February 11, 2014, 5:03 pm, 1221494
I started this search by reading this Post last. There will be two other Opinions which I will cite concerning their evaluation of the material, which focus on other aspects of the situation I would outline. I work the content of the original Post through my mind, and come ...


February 11, 2014, 5:03 pm, 1221491
I will tell my Readers to consider this Post, and even study the graphs. I confess that I have a real problem with Stimulus overall. Stimulus, by its very nature, must be significantly effective as to swing the entire economy; when One hopes to draw the economy out of ...


February 11, 2014, 5:03 pm, 1221492
I am not one capable of agreeing with the Austrians, Some consider that I do not even understand their Thought processes. I here bring you a Post which I think is important coming from an Austrian, the major purpose of which is to present a Counterpoint to my own ...


February 11, 2014, 5:03 pm, 1221493
This is exactly that type of Post I can understand, but disagree with heartily. I have long since decided that the American economy can be truly saved only by revision of the Tax Code with lowered rates of Taxation, but ones that have no discounting allowed. My position on ...


February 11, 2014, 5:03 pm, 1221490
I write this for those few who have maintained consistent watch of this site over the years. I was diagnosed with lung cancer this past week, and will likely not contribute more to this site. I am in Hospice right now, as the combination of low blood flow through the ...