Economics Roundtable

May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


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Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


Click on the chart for a larger version.


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Rossputin (Ross Kaminsky)

"Rossputin.com:  Rational Thinking About Our World”

“Life, Liberty, and the Pursuit of Happiness”


July 17, 2014, 11:23 am, 1302455

In a Gallup poll released Tuesday, the percentage of Americans who say that immigration is the nation’s most important problem reached 17 percent, the highest level in eight years and the second-highest ever recorded by that polling organization.

It’s easy to scoff at the fickleness of the American ...


July 8, 2014, 11:23 am, 1298068

It’s beginning to sink in with the intelligentsia: The flood of illegal aliens (yes, I said “illegal”) and particularly the tsunami of children traveling alone — parents risking their youngsters’ lives by sending them from Central America through gang-ravaged Mexico — threatens to turn the immigration debate into ...


June 30, 2014, 5:23 pm, 1293436

The bodies of three young men, assumed to be the two Israeli and one Israeli-American yeshiva (religious high school) students kidnapped on June 12th, have been found "under a pile of rocks in an open field" between two towns in the West Bank, according to NY Times reporting. ...


June 25, 2014, 11:23 am, 1291190

For my thoughts on Colorado's Republican primary election for governor, as well as on the Oklahoma Senate primary and the Mississippi Senate runoff, please see my article for the American Spectator here:
http://spectator.org/articles/59759/primary-m
usings-oklahoma-colorado-and-mississippi

Link to Original post at Rossputin.com.


June 12, 2014, 3:23 pm, 1285574

June 11, 2014, 9:23 am, 1284765

In his Republican primary race on Tuesday evening, House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-VA) was a bigger favorite than California Chrome. (Last week, Cantor’s campaign claimed a more than 2-to-1 polling lead.) But in both cases we’re reminded “that’s why they run the race.”

The most common reaction after ...


June 6, 2014, 9:23 am, 1282671

(Not to be sung or hummed to the tune of any John Lennon song...)

Imagine a congressman who has never missed a vote in the House of Representatives.

Imagine a congressman who has explained every House vote he has cast on his Facebook page.

Imagine a congressman who places fidelity to the Constitution ...


June 5, 2014, 11:23 am, 1282179

To coin a phrase, R. Emmett Tyrrell, Jr. has forgotten more about politics than I’ll ever know. His familiarity with great ideas and thinkers, his personal ties to some of the most important conservatives in recent history (Ronald Reagan visited his home!), and his affable writing style — ...


June 4, 2014, 3:23 pm, 1281743

Sometimes the best form of criticism is humor, especially when all other forms seem ineffective.

So in order to try to help you laugh, or at least stop crying, I offer these two gems in response to the trade of 5 Taliban terrorist leaders for one Army sergeant who probably deserted ...


May 22, 2014, 11:23 am, 1275986

According to media reports from liberal and conservative outlets alike, the Tea Party is somewhere between “tamed” and dead — the mainstream right helpfully suggesting the former while the left (which is to say most of the media) gleefully proclaim the latter. At the same time, the liberal message machine ...