May 2014 Payroll Employment
After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.
Click on the image to get a bigger version.
The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .
Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?
Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.
Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?
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Other key indicators include the June ISM manufacturing and non-manufacturing indexes, July auto sales, and the June trade deficit.
----- Monday, Aug 1st -----
Here is the unofficial problem bank list for July 2016.
Changes and comments from surferdude808:
Update on the Unofficial Problem Bank List for July 2016. During the month, the list fell ...
As a result of softer sales and a dampened outlook among operators, the National Restaurant Associationâ€™s Restaurant Performance Index (RPI) declined for the second consecutive month. The RPI stood at 100.3 ...
Lawler notes: CalAtlantic was formed with the merger of Standard Pacific and Ryland, completed in October 2015. The Q2/2015 statistics for CalAtlantic are pro forma ...
In the ...
The MNI Chicago Business Barometer fell 1 point to 55.8 in July from the 1Â˝-year high of 56.8 in June, led by a fall in New Orders. Smaller declines were seen in Production and Order Backlogs, which ...
Real gross domestic product increased at an annual rate of 1.2 percent in the second quarter of 2016, according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased ...
The annual revision of the national income and product accounts, covering the first quarter of 2013 through the first quarter of 2016, will be released along with the ...
These are mortgage loans that are "three monthly payments or more past due or in foreclosure".
From Zillow: June Case-Shiller Forecast: Expect a Third Straight Monthly Decline in 10- and 20-City Indices