Economics Roundtable

NOTICE 9/30/177

The Economics Roundtable website has been up and running for a couple of days now. Further periods of testing will be necessary. The RSS feed is still not working. The left sidebar links are also probably not updating correctly.

The problems were caused by updates to the programming language php and to the Apache operating system. It is taking time to track down the problems this causes with my system. - Bill Parke

March 2017 Fed Funds Rate

What is the effect of a 0.25% change in the Fed Funds rate?.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

March 2017 Payroll Employment

Payroll employment has not grown impressively since 2000. Some baby-boomers retired, but that does not totally account for this graph.

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May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

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The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .

Click on the image to get a bigger version.

Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.

Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?

Click on the chart for a larger version.


The Economics Roundtable is sponsored by EconModel.

The Classic Economic Models cover micro, macro, and financial markets.

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The Sports Economist

"Economic Commentary on Sports & Society”

September 12, 2017, 3:29 pm, 1774605

A novel means of financing has been proposed by an investment banker and Buffalo Bills fan, Steven Brady. The idea is to finance an anticipated purchase of the team from 92 year old owner Ralph Wilson with “Bills Bonds”, which would pay below market interest as long as the team ...

September 12, 2017, 3:29 pm, 1774606

Here’s Arsene Wenger, via Duncan White  in the Telgraph:

“What the statistics have done, is that they have kicked out of the game all the players who cannot run. Suddenly the English level is much higher. You play against a team and you know it.”Where Wenger has really noticed the ...

September 12, 2017, 3:29 pm, 1774607

Most NFL writers trashed Vince Young’s after his shoulder-pad throwing, walking out on Jeff Fisher blowup on Sunday.  The grilling ranged from moderate such as’s Peter King

And though Young’s played better this year (10 touchdown, three interceptions), I get the sense the coaching staff has tired ...

September 12, 2017, 3:29 pm, 1774608

The Cleveland Indians are getting ready to open a skating track and 10-lane snow tubing hill at Progressive Field during the offseason.

…Senior director of merchandising and licensing Kurt Schloss declined to specify financial goals. He says the aim is attracting fans downtown during ...

September 12, 2017, 3:29 pm, 1774604

I’m shocked, shocked I say that this would happen in a case with a publicly-subsidized sports stadium.

Eight years ago, as the St. Louis Cardinals aimed to build a new baseball stadium, team owners signed an agreement with the city worth millions of dollars a year in tax ...

September 12, 2017, 3:29 pm, 1774603

Among the title or presenting sponsors: The Dish Network Orange and White Game at Tennessee, the Golden Flake A-Day Game at Alabama (Children’s Hospital, the U.S. Navy and Cook’s Pest Control also are sponsors), the Auburn A-Day Game Presented by the U.S. Navy, the Super Bulldog Weekend presented by Regions ...

September 12, 2017, 3:29 pm, 1774600

The Badger Herald has named the names of the worst people on the University of Wisconsin.  Seems that these people had the audacity to engage in arbitrage of Wisconsin Badger bowl tickets.

The above students had the nerve to put their Rose Bowl tickets up for ...

September 12, 2017, 3:29 pm, 1774601

Most of the commentary following FIFA’s award of the 2018 and 2022 World Cups to Russia and Qatar has focused on the voting process, the objectives of FIFA, and potential corruption.  But for me, FIFA’s decisions are remarkable for their consistency.  They are allocating the right to host the tournament ...

September 12, 2017, 3:29 pm, 1774602

Today FIFA announced that the 2018 World Cup will be held in Russia, while the 2022 version will be held in Qatar, a country roughly the size of Connecticutt that has never qualified for the tournament and has essentially no existing sports infrastructure.

Qatar beat out the U.S. for the right ...

September 12, 2017, 3:29 pm, 1774599

Two years ago, I dissed the hiring of Gene Chizik by Auburn.  I didn’t predict failure but highlighted how poorly his track record fit the hiring of a relatively premier job.

On the downside, and the very, very unusual aspect of this hire is Chizik’s performance as a head coach. ...