Economics Roundtable

Technical Problems 3/9/15

The website was down several hours today, but is back up now.


May 2014 Payroll Employment

After 76 months, we finally got back to the prerecession level of payroll employment.

Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Jobs

The best summary of the state of our economy is the graph (below) of employment as a fraction of population for people over 16 years old. The decrease is large, but the most troubling feature of the graph is the flat trend .


Click on the image to get a bigger version.


Graph-of-the-Year Candidates

Donald Marron likes European interest rates. Click on the image to get a bigger version. Can you find three distinct subperiods?

Brad DeLong favors the U.S. gdp gap.


Remember M1?

Money Supply M1 growth is now over 20% per year over a 12 month lag. M1 growth has touched 20% before, but not with excess reserves of $1.6 trillion. Where is M1 headed?


Click on the chart for a larger version.


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Political Calculations


May 22, 2015, 5:03 am, 1478844

Did you ever wonder what gift you could possibly get for the guy who has everything?

The


May 21, 2015, 5:03 am, 1478168

We're breaking news today as it appears that the Apollo Group (NYSE: APOL), the parent company of the for-profit University ...


May 20, 2015, 5:03 am, 1477584

In April 2008, the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Federal Disability Insurance Trust Funds projected that Social Security's Disability Insurance (SSDI) trust fund would likely peak in 2008 and then would be slowly drawn down until it ran ...


May 19, 2015, 5:03 am, 1476829

On Friday, 15 May 2015, the U.S. Treasury identified the national origins of the major foreign holders of debt issued by the U.S. government through the end of March 2015, the halfway point of the federal government's fiscal year. With that information, we ...


May 18, 2015, 5:03 am, 1476082

You wouldn't necessarily think of it from the news reports, but according to the number of U.S. companies announcing that they would be cutting their dividends, the last week was the best week of 2015!


May 15, 2015, 5:03 am, 1475004

When the first trailer for Star Wars: Episode VII came out, a new star was born that stood out from everyone else in it. You know who we mean:

It was the droid ...


May 14, 2015, 11:03 am, 1474447

Has the bubble in higher education begun to burst?

To answer that question, we need to look at the performance of marginal higher education institutions that offer a wide range of degrees in a number of academic fields. Here, we mean "marginal" in the economic ...


May 13, 2015, 9:03 am, 1473616

Because of what may be a glitch in in our RSS news feed, our latest post, Developing the National Dividend Into a Monthly Economic Indicator, may be accessed directly at our site.


May 13, 2015, 5:03 am, 1473470

One of the challenges we've taken on this year is developing more real-time indicators of the health of the U.S. economy. One of the other challenges we've taken on is the determination of a consumption-based National Dividend - a concept for measuring the well-being of ...


May 12, 2015, 9:03 am, 1472776

We had planned to retire our chart tracking the change in the number of employeed by age group since November 2007, when the total employment level in the U.S. peaked ahead of the beginning of the so-called "Great Recession", but data in the April ...